The UConn Huskies take on the Creighton Bluejays in Omaha, NE. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on FOX.
UConn is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -360. The total is set at 143.5 points.
Here’s my UConn vs. Creighton predictions and college basketball picks for January 31, 2026.
UConn vs Creighton Prediction
My Pick: Under 143.5
My UConn vs Creighton best bet is on the under. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
UConn vs. Creighton Odds
| UConn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -110 | 143.5 -110o / -110u | -360 |
| Creighton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -110 | 143.5 -110o / -110u | +280 |
UConn vs Creighton Betting Preview
UConn Basketball
The dominance from the Huskies is akin to its dominance from two seasons ago. They’re winners of 16 consecutive games and lost just one game this season — to unbeaten Arizona.
UConn has been dominant, but it hasn’t been blowing teams out. It has four straight wins, but it's 0-4 ATS in that span against Seton Hall, Georgetown, Providence and Villanova.
Of late, UConn’s defense has kept it on the winning trail. The Huskies are 20th in Bart Torvik’s defense efficiency since January 1, but they're fifth for the season, per KenPom.
The Huskies thrive at forcing teams into tough shots. Opponents shoot just 28% from deep (7th nationally) and 44% on 2s (sixth nationally) against UConn.
UConn would be even better defensively if it stopped fouling and protected the glass more. The Huskies are outside the top 300 in defensive rebounding rate over their past seven games.
Can the opponent expose those woes? That depends on the matchup.
Creighton Basketball
Creighton looked like it could be a sneaky Big East team after starting league play at 4-1. Water has since found its level, as the Bluejays are now 6-4 in conference action.
For an offensive technician like Greg McDermott, it’s not a surprise that he found a way to turn one of his least talented teams in years into a borderline top-50 offense.
The Jays are reliant on the 3-point shot, attempting treys on 49% of looks and hitting them at a 34.7% clip. They score efficiently inside (57.3% from inside the arc), but shooting is their identity.
The offensive trio of Josh Dix, Austin Swartz and big man Jasen Green does most of the heavy lifting. Swartz is the shooter of the bunch, pouring in over 40% of his 3s. Green is a 6-foot-8 burly-built forward that can score inside and out and Dix is a versatile scorer who loves the mid-range.
Defensively, Creighton is pretty disappointing, ranking 99th in defensive efficiency, per KenPom. It could probably see some regression in the 3-point shooting department, as opponents shoot 34% deep against it. However, the Bluejays don’t have much length, leading to struggles on the glass and keeping teams from scoring at the hoop.
UConn is 297th in adjusted tempo and Creighton is 237th. Neither team is hunting down transition buckets, and UConn will likely look to push Creighton off the 3-point line and force it into driving.
That’s what this tough Huskies defense does, as it only allows teams to shoot 3s 33% of the time.
UConn vs. Creighton Betting Analysis
Why has UConn struggled to cover the spread lately? It’s been an offensive issue, which keeps it from pulling away in games. The Huskies are 54th in offensive efficiency this month, per Bart Torvik.
Just making shots has been a real problem, as the Huskies are shooting 51% on 2s and 34% from deep. The only thing keeping the offense from bottoming out is offensive rebounding.
Alex Karaban is struggling, scoring less than 10 points in two of his past four games and he’s shot it poorly, too. The perimeter scorers for the Huskies have been too streaky to rely on.
Solo Ball leads the team with 14 points per game, but he’s shooting 28% from deep. There isn’t some world-shattering X’s and O’s change that Dan Hurley can make. He just needs his veterans to play better.
I’m looking at the under here. If the Bluejays struggle from deep, this game could be in the 60s.
And on top of that analysis, our Action PRO Projections have this pick as a Grade-B, making the total closer to 140.5 rather than the current number (as of writing) of 143.5
My Pick: Under 143.5
