March Madness Sucker Ratings: 5 Worst NCAA Tournament Teams to Bet Since 2014
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ohio State Buckeyes head coach Chris Holtmann
- Unfortunately for college basketball bettors, a handful of college basketball teams have consistently failed to cover the spread over the past five seasons.
- Using our Bet Labs data, we identified which 2019 NCAA Tournament teams have burned bettors the most since 2014.
There’s a sucker born every minute. And with the help of our Bet Labs data, we can quickly pinpoint which college basketball teams have made suckers out of bettors over the past five seasons.
To calculate our March Madness Sucker Ratings, we analyzed the total number of tickets (bets) placed on each team, then factored in the team’s against-the-spread (ATS) win rate since 2014 to determine which have failed bettors the most.
Note: The ratings below include only teams playing in the 2019 NCAA Tournament.
5. Maryland Terrapins
Bettors may be catching on to the plight of the Terps as less than 25% of bets are backing Maryland as a 3-point favorite against Belmont.
Interestingly, the Terrapins have been a solid bet this season, posting a 15-12-1 (55.6%) ATS record overall. However, they’re just 3-6 ATS when receiving less than 50% of spread action.
4. Louisville Cardinals
The public is showing a bit more confidence in Louisville, as 56% of spread tickets are taking the Cardinals over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.
Similar to Maryland, Louisville has crushed bettors over the past five years overall, but may have won everyone back with a 15-11-1 ATS record on the year.
3. Iowa Hawkeyes
Along with being a flat-out awful NCAA Tournament bet, Iowa has continued burying bettors throughout this season. The Hawkeyes have lost nine of their past 10 games ATS, paving the way to a 12-17 ATS record on the season. Woof.
Unsurprisingly, only 33% of tickets and 30% of dollars wagered are taking the points in Iowa’s (+3.5) Round of 64 matchup with Cincinnati.
2. Ohio State Buckeyes
While Maryland, Louisville and Iowa are bunched fairly closely together, Ohio State sets itself apart from those teams in a tier of its own. Since 2014, the Buckeyes are 72-85-4 (45.9%) ATS.
So far, bettors have been reacting accordingly as just 29% of all wagers have fallen on Ohio State (+5.5) vs. Iowa State in the Round of 64.
1. Oklahoma Sooners
When it comes to our Sucker Ratings formula, Oklahoma has EASILY been the worst college basketball bet over the past five seasons. The Sooners’ 47.4% ATS record over that span is actually better than the Buckeyes’ record, but the sheer volume of money this team has attracted over the past five years makes it the biggest disappointment for bettors.