2019 College Football Bowl Projections & Projected Point Spreads Entering Week 11
Jennifer Buchanon-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tyler Huntley
- Our college football bowl projections didn't get too much of an update after Week 10.
- The SEC remains a bowl-eligibility mess with several teams fighting to get to six wins, the ACC is a mess in its own way, and things in the Big Ten aren't going according to plan.
- We're projecting every bowl game, including projected point spreads derived from our power ratings.
There’s so much college football left to be played in November that will decide the College Football Playoff and the rest of the bowl landscape.
The SEC has a whole host of teams fighting to get to six wins while the Big Ten is shaping up much differently than we expected before the season.
These rankings are based on a combination of what has happened and what we think will happen the rest of the way using our estimated point spreads.
Here’s how things stand after Week 10, with projected point spreads for these projected matchups using The Action Network power ratings.
Today only, you can get Collin Wilson’s projected Week 11 point spreads FREE in The Action Network app to find early betting value.
2019 College Football Bowl Projections
CFP & New Year’s Six Bowls
We’ll get some answers on the College Football Playoff and New Year’s Six games next week, though it won’t clear up any of the picture. A one-loss Alabama or LSU will still have a good shot of getting in.
Ohio State and Clemson will be double-digit favorites in the rest of their games, including conference title games, so they have the best chance of getting into the playoff right now.
The race for the Group of Five’s NY6 spot is heating up, though Appalachian State and SMU losing this weekend help us answer some questions. The winner of the AAC is the frontrunner right now — likely UCF or Memphis.
Every Other Bowl Game
The SEC remains a mess, with a whole group of teams fighting to get bowl eligible. Mississippi State looks to be in good shape after smoking Arkansas on Saturday, with Abilene Christian and Ole Miss left to get to six wins.
After that, Tennessee and Ole Miss need to win out, Kentucky and South Carolina are two wins away, and Missouri might not be bowl eligible. Like I said, a mess.
The Big Ten is also a mess, though the teams are becoming much more clear. Illinois has five wins, Nebraska has four and might not get bowl eligible, and Indiana and Minnesota have more than locked up their spots.
Nebraska has at Wisconsin, at Maryland and home vs. Iowa left. Feels like there’s only one win in there, putting Scott Frost’s team at 5-7 in his second year.
You can use our betting-style power ratings to project point spreads between any two teams.
2019 Bowl Game Tie-Ins
Peach Bowl — CFP Semifinal
Fiesta Bowl — CFP Semifinal
Sugar Bowl — SEC vs. Big 12
Rose Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Orange Bowl — ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten/ND
Cotton Bowl — at-large vs. at-large
Mobile Bowl — MAC vs. Sun Belt
Armed Forces Bowl — Big Ten vs. Mountain West
Potato Bowl — MAC vs. Mountain West
Gator Bowl — Big Ten vs. SEC
Birmingham Bowl — American vs. SEC
Citrus Bowl — ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC
Outback Bowl — Big Ten vs. SEC
Alamo Bowl — Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Arizona Bowl — Mountain West vs. Sun Belt
Liberty Bowl — Big 12 vs. SEC
Sun Bowl — ACC vs. Pac-12
Belk Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
Redbox Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Music City Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
First Responder Bowl — Big 12 vs. C-USA
Camping World Bowl — ACC vs. Big 12
Cheez-It Bowl — Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Holiday Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Texas Bowl — Big 12 vs. SEC
Pinstripe Bowl — ACC vs. Big Ten
Military Bowl — ACC vs. American
Quick Lane Bowl — ACC vs. Big Ten
Independence Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
Hawaii Bowl — BYU vs. American
Gasparilla Bowl — American/ACC vs. C-USA
New Orleans Bowl — C-USA vs. Sun Belt
Las Vegas Bowl — Mountain West vs. Pac-12
Camellia Bowl — MAC vs. Sun Belt
Boca Raton Bowl — American/C-USA/MAC
Cure Bowl — American vs. Sun Belt
New Mexico Bowl — C-USA vs. Mountain West
Frisco Bowl — American vs. C-USA/MAC/Mountain West
Bahamas Bowl — C-USA vs. MAC