The Army Black Knights take on the Air Force Falcons in Colorado. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. EDT on CBS.
Air Force is favored by 1.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -115. The total is set at 49.5 points.
Here’s my Army vs. Air Force prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 1, 2025.
Army vs Air Force Prediction
- Army vs. Air Force Pick: Air Force -1 or Better
My Air Force vs. Army best bet is on the Falcons to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Army vs Air Force Odds
| Army Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -115 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
| Air Force Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -105 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
- Army vs Air Force point spread: Air Force -1 (-105), Army +1 (-115)
- Army vs Air Force over/under: 49.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Army vs Air Force moneyline: Army -110, Air Force -110
Army vs Air Force Pick
Air Force is a hilarious team to chart.
From an Adjusted EPA Per Play perspective, the Falcons have the best Group of 5 offense in the country. Unfortunately, they also have the worst defense in the country due to an extremely slow-footed back end that frequently looks like a bad FCS outfit.
However, this is a game where the defense can actually hold its own against a similar offensive scheme it practices against daily.
The familiarity on both sides is through the roof, which is why these matchups between service academies have been a cash cow over the past two decades.
Because of that familiarity, both defenses will likely make frequent stops on early downs, despite each ranking in the bottom 10 nationally in yards before contact.
That will set up some key third-and-long situations where I trust the explosive Air Force offense exponentially more against an Army defense that can't generate pressure and struggles in coverage.
On the season, the Airmen rank sixth in the country in third-and-long conversion rate (seven-plus yards), while Army has performed below the national average in those down and distances at 27%.
I honestly believe that will prove to be the difference for an Air Force team that went on a tear in the second half of last season in a similar situation with a brand-new team and quarterback.
You have to handicap these service academy matchups completely differently than regular FBS games.
From a numbers perspective, I could see how someone might fancy the Black Knights. Still, I genuinely believe the Air Force defense can actually look a bit competent against a run-heavy Army attack that doesn't force many missed tackles nor get much after the catch.
Plus, the Falcons boast a clearly superior offense that should fare better in those inevitable, more challenging third-and-medium-to-third-and-long situations.
Fourth downs will undoubtedly play a role in this outcome, so hopefully, we're on the good side of those swings.
Pick: Air Force -1 or Better
