Wake Forest vs. Old Dominion Odds, Picks: Deacs to Win Big?

Wake Forest vs. Old Dominion Odds, Picks: Deacs to Win Big? article feature image

Photo by James Black/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Wake Forest QB Mitch Griffis.

Wake Forest vs. Old Dominion Odds

Saturday, Sept. 16
12 p.m. ET
Wake Forest Odds
-110o / -110u
Old Dominion Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.

Let's take a trip down to Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Virginia, for this ACC/Sun Belt clash between the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Old Dominion Monarchs.

Both of these teams are coming off of victories, which is a nice surprise for the Monarchs, who entered the 2023 season with low expectations.

This is an interesting game to handicap, and without digging into any numbers, you'd presume to see some points in this matchup. But as always, let's dig right in and find the correct betting angle.

Check out our NCAAF Betting Hub for more college football previews, predictions, news and analysis.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

I wasn't too high on this Deacons team heading into the year, but they've proven thus far that they don't need Sam Hartman to win football games. Granted they've defeated Vanderbilt and Elon, but I'd say it's still a good sign for things to come.

This ground attack seems to be the offensive identity that Dave Clawson wants to continue to lean on. Wake rushed for over 280 yards last week, and RB Demond Claiborne is averaging over 5.5 YPC thus far this season.

I don't expect a change in the offensive game plan this week, as the Monarchs are 86th in Rushing Success Rate.

If this ground attack gets going, this will open up some opportunities to attack this Monarchs secondary, which is 124th in Passing Success Rate and 131st in Havoc Allowed. I think we will see a lot of play-action from Wake once Claiborne gets cooking.

The defense has held its own thus far, but I do have concerns that it very well could've been opponent-based. But numbers are numbers, right?

If the Monarchs try attacking through the air, I expect Wake to shut most of it down. According to PFF, this unit is second in coverage and 29th in tackling.

The run defense is the Achilles heel of this unit, and I expect the Monarchs to try and establish the run from the get-go. If the run defense steps up and forces the Monarchs into non-standard down situations, I think this will set up another solid performance.

Phone With the Action App Open
The must-have app for college football bettors
The best NCAAF betting scoreboard
Free picks from proven pros
Live win probabilities for your bets

Old Dominion Monarchs

The Monarchs are already exceeding expectations this season, as this was a team that entered the 2023 season with a 3.5-win total. The 38-31 victory over Louisiana spoke volumes about their offense moving forward.

Let's face it: the Monarchs will have to ride the coattails of their offense the rest of the season if they want to have any sort of miraculous bowl aspirations. This is a team that's currently 12th in Rushing Success Rate, 16th in Line Yards and 23rd in Offensive Finishing Drives.

I expect the Monarchs to run the ball pretty heavily here, as the Wake defense is 90th in Defensive Rushing Success Rate. If they want to win this game outright, I believe this will be the path.

I expect a lot of burning clocks, and if they can find themselves past the opposing 40-yard line, I would expect them to end up in the end zone. QB Grant Wilson isn't exactly what you call a gunslinger, so as long as he's protecting the ball I believe they can hang tough.

As for the defense … woof. This Monarchs team will have their hands full. Their defensive metrics are not pretty, and most notably they're 131st in Havoc Allowed. If Wake QB Mitch Griffis is in the pocket all afternoon, it's going to be a long day for the Monarchs.

Wake Forest vs Old Dominion

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Wake Forest and Old Dominion match up statistically:

Wake Forest Offense vs. Old Dominion Defense
Rush Success5186
Line Yards3350
Pass Success59124
Finishing Drives5988
Quality Drives38122
Old Dominion Offense vs. Wake Forest Defense
Rush Success1290
Line Yards1666
Pass Success10277
Finishing Drives2383
Quality Drives11137
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling2945
PFF Coverage2120
Special Teams SP+3999
Middle 81198
Seconds per Play27.0 (68)24.0 (21)
Rush Rate59.7% (42)63.9% (44)

Wake Forest vs Old Dominion

Betting Pick & Prediction

I usually hate laying a large number with a road team that I still have some questions about, but I think we have no choice other than to ride with Wake here.

Look, the Monarchs are riding high off of their win last week, but this isn't Louisiana. I think this is setting up for a huge day for the Wake offense.

I do expect a lot of running here, so the clock should be moving. That's what's keeping me away from this, so I'd rather swallow the points with the road team here.

Keep an eye on the injury report; Wake LB Chase Jones is questionable with an undisclosed injury. Regardless, I like Wake to get the job done and move to 3-0. I'd wait as long as possible to see if you can grab a -13.5 before kick, but I still like the Deacs at the current number.

Pick: Wake Forest -14 (Play to -15)
What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.