The Under-the-Radar CFB Matchup Sharps Are Quietly Betting

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Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ball State Cardinals defensive back Bryce Cosby (5) is greeted by teammates

  • College football Week 8 odds and public betting data are now available.
  • We examine how sharps are quietly betting one of the smallest college football Week 8 matchups.

Savvy bettors like small college football matchups.

Why? Because low-profile games can offer soft opening lines due to a lack of familiarity, information or even because the tiny overall betting handle, compared to the week’s more popular matchups, doesn’t justify as much attention from sportsbooks.

Value is value, and whether you find it on a nationally-televised game between two Power 5 schools or in one played in an empty stadium, winning bets pay just the same.


Odds as of Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


When it comes to this week’s college football slate, it didn’t take long to find the ugly matchup pros are already betting.

Let’s look at which lightly-bet college football matchup is quietly becoming a popular landing spot for sharp action.

According to The Action Network’s public betting data, there are just two Saturday games receiving fewer betting tickets than Toledo vs. Ball State (Middle Tennessee St. vs. North Texas and Buffalo vs. Akron).

However, that has not stopped wiseguys from pounding the Toledo-Ball State under.

Oddsmakers opened this over/under at 60.5, a number that now sits at 59.

Since casual bettors are completely ignoring this game, it’s safe to say that the movement we’ve seen so far is due to sharp action, and Sports Insights’ Bet Signals concur.

Three smart money indicators have been triggered on the Toledo-Ball State under, confirming that sharps are responsible for the adjustment despite being one of Week 8’s least interesting games, according to bettors.

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