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Florida A Historical Underdog Against Georgia

Florida A Historical Underdog Against Georgia article feature image
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Icon Sportswire/Getty. Pictured: Rashad Torrence.

The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party got a little extra kick added to the horseradish this weekend.

On the lookahead line before last Saturday’s games, the Gators were 15.5-point underdogs against Georgia. By the time Saturday and Sunday came, Florida was all the way up to its current spread of +22.5.

If the Gators close above a 20-point underdog, it will be their fourth-highest spread as an underdog over the last 50 years.

Biggest Florida Underdog Spreads Over the Last 50 Years:

+28.5 vs. Florida State (2013, Lost, 37-7)
+24.5 vs. Alabama (1978, Lost, 23-12)
+24 vs. Alabama (2016, Lost, 54-16)
+22.5 vs. Georgia (2022)*
+20 vs. Florida State (1979, Lost, 27-16)

Over the last 50 years, Florida has been listed above a two-touchdown underdog (more than 14 points) a total of sixteen times. The Gators are 0-16 straight up in those games. Florida’s biggest recent upset came in 2016 as a 14-point underdog against LSU.

When looking specifically at the Florida-Georgia rivalry, this weeks point spread is the biggest in the series since 1996.

The "World's Largest Cocktail Party" hasn't seen a spread this big in over 25 years 😳 pic.twitter.com/38aauiOBTo

— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) October 27, 2022

Florida-Georgia Betting Markets

Maybe as a surprise to some, Florida is currently receiving 62% of the bets but just 49% of the handle this weekend against Georgia, according to Action Network data.

Since 2020, Georgia has played just four games with 40% of tickets or fewer and the Bulldogs are 4-0 straight up and against the spread, covering the spread by a whopping 13.5 PPG.

A Florida upset would be historic in its own right, but it would also break Georgia’s current streak of wins as a double-digit favorite:

Consecutive wins in games favored by at least 10 points

Cincinnati 46
Kentucky 43
Syracuse, Texas Tech 31
Georgia 27
Indiana, Utah 23
Ole Miss 22
Utah State 20
Baylor, Ohio State 16
NC State 15
Alabama, Michigan, Oklahoma State, Tennessee, Wake Forest 14
Clemson, Oregon 9

— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) October 27, 2022

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