Heisman Trophy Odds, Power Rankings for Week 5: Penix Remains Best Value
Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images. Pictured: Michael Penix Jr. (Washington)
Week 4 brought us an electric slate of college football across the board.
For anyone with a Colorado Heisman ticket, apologies, you may leave the ride to your left, don't forget your bags and coat.
For the remainder of the Pac-12 Heisman ticket holders, buckle up because it's about to become dog-eat-dog for the next two months.
As conference play continues, each game becomes more meaningful for our Heisman contenders. While they're fighting for wins, we're fighting for value — word to Oregon.
Odds as of Tuesday, September 26 and via BetMGM.
QB Sam Hartman
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · +1400
The loss hurts. The lack of an eye-popping stat line hurts. But there's a bright side for those folks who hold a Sam Hartman ticket — or want to; the Fighting Irish will get two more cracks at big time opponents this year – USC and Clemson.
Notre Dame was one yard (and one player really) away from holding off Ohio State for the victory last week. There's a long season to go, meaning the Irish and Hartman can still find their way back into College Football Playoff discussion.
Should they take care of business against USC, a Sam Hartman Heisman ticket at 14/1 would look like a glitch in the system.
Right now, it's worth the consideration.
QB Bo Nix
Oregon Ducks · +1200
It's that time of the year again where we buy into a Bo Nix Heisman run. Whether you want to or not, the results Oregon has put on the field so far this season are at the very least worth consideration.
Dan Lanning strikes me as a guy who won't hesitate to keep his offense moving at full throttle despite the scoreboard, and that works to the benefit of Nix.
Nix's season stats are rather ridiculous at the moment: 11 touchdown passes, one interception, 1,164 passing yards and an astonishing 79.4% completion percentage.
Oregon gets a cupcake in Stanford this weekend before a massive top-1o matchup with Washington in two weeks. The game against Washington will have massive implications for the Heisman race.
If you're a believer in Nix and the Ducks, snagging him at these odds would be your best bet.
QB Quinn Ewers
Texas Longhorns · +600
A 38-6 victory for Texas over Baylor didn't provide the opportunity for an eye-popping performance from the Texas quarterback as one would expect.
Still, however, Quinn Ewers' odds continue to get shorter.
There are two big factors leading Ewers' Heisman campaign. First, the Alabama win in Tuscaloosa got a boost from the Tide's performance against Ole Miss. And second, he's the only quarterback on the list right now to have zero turnovers this season.
Ewers threw for 293 yards on 78% passing and a score — and added another via the ground — vs. Baylor.
Ewers needs to pick up the pace statistically for him to have a real chance at the coveted award, but for now, he will remain lingering around as long as he takes care of the football and the Longhorns remain inside the top five.
QB Caleb Williams
USC Trojans · +350
The reigning Heisman winner is sitting inside the top 15 in completion percentage and passing yards, while being second in the country in passing touchdowns. His statistics are going to rival his own from last year — when he won the award.
Moving forward, the USC defense is going to act as a double-edged sword for Caleb Williams.
There won't be as many blowouts on the scoreboard to the naked eye, since the USC defense consistently puts up performances that resemble a wet paper bag. As a result, Williams will remain on the field longer in games that he's already put up video game-like numbers in.
The highlight-reel plays are going to continue to file in right now.
What's going to keep him from taking the top spot is the level in which Penix is playing at right now, combined with the margin of victory between the Huskies and Trojans.
QB Michael Penix Jr.
Washington Huskies · +350
Michael Penix Jr. has moved into a tie with Williams for the best odds to win the Heisman Trophy. Washington has won every game this season by four touchdowns, while dominating seemingly every minute of the season.
The stat line for Penix is ridiculous, as he's averaging 409.0 yards per game through the air, with 16 passing touchdowns to just two interceptions. Penix is at the top of seemingly every meaningful quarterback statistic, and he's done so in just three games — for the most part.
For the time being, we're still in the cupcake stage of the Washington schedule. Penix and the crew will continue to put up wild numbers this weekend against Arizona.
But if you take a look down the road, you will see three top-10 opponents waiting to get a crack at the Huskies.
Should the high-scoring offense continue, Penix will see his odds get smaller by the week, even with a loss.
This is the best value on the board right now.