The Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the Kansas Jayhawks in Lawrence, Kansas. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Kansas is favored by -24.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2400. The total is set at 55 points.
Here’s my Oklahoma State vs. Kansas prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 1.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Prediction
- Oklahoma State vs. Kansas pick: Over 55 (-110, bet365)
My Kansas vs. Oklahoma State best bet is on the over total points. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Odds
| OK State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+24.5 -110 | 55 -110o / -110u | +1200 |
| Kansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-24.5 -110 | 55 -110o / -110u | -2400 |
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas point spread: Kansas -24.5 (-110), Oklahoma State +24.5 (-110)
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas over/under: 55 (-110o / -110u)
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas moneyline: Oklahoma State +1200, Kansas -2400
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Preview
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview: Searching for Any Kind of Spark
Oklahoma State has struggled through a treacherous season filled with disappointment and turmoil, and this team has looked non-competitive seemingly every week in Big 12 Play.
The Pokes' offense could get a boost this week with Zane Flores returning at quarterback, and he has been the best-performing quarterback they have used this year.
The ground game has been sporadic, and while they have shown some pop, the Cowboys don’t consistently stack successful run plays together often enough to score many points.
Defensively, the Cowboys have been one of the worst groups in the Big 12 all season.
They grade out as the second-worst in the Big 12 in overall defense and are the third-worst tackling defense in the conference, per PFF. The pass rush is marginal, and the coverage unit routinely gets beaten deep.
Oklahoma State does not have a talented roster on this side of the ball right now, and the result has been surrendering 43 points and 474 yards per game in conference play.
Expect more of the same this week.
Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview: Looking to Reassert Themselves at Home
Kansas was getting a lot of love in the market last week against hated rival Kansas State, but Rock Chalk will have to wait at least one more year to get the monkey off their back in the Sunflower Showdown.
The Wildcats limited the Jayhawks' offense, and the weather significantly affected their playcalling.
I think the Kansas offense is better than we saw it play in its last two games, identical 42-17 defeats.
This offense has shown flashes offensively and is more than capable of moving the ball and scoring in this matchup.
Jalon Daniels has put together a solid season while completing 66% of his passes with 18 touchdowns to just three interceptions. He hadn’t thrown an interception in five games before throwing one last week.
The ground attack disappeared against Kansas State and Texas Tech, but could fare better here against the second-worst-rated defense in the Big 12.
The Jayhawk defense has been vulnerable against the run this season, and while they allowed only 140 yards on the ground last week, that game ended a streak of five in a row of allowing over five yards per carry.
While the offense has not done the defense any favors (four turnovers each of the last two weeks), the defense has also not held up its end of the bargain, allowing 92% of redzone opportunities to result in scores. The defense also ranks 117th nationally in Explosiveness allowed.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Pick, Betting Analysis
Kansas has a bad taste in its mouth, having lost three of its last four while seeing the offense play poorly for long stretches.
I would expect the Jayhawks to take out their frustration on the Cowboys and put up a big point total.
I also think Oklahoma State will score a bit.
So, I like the Over.
I think we will see Kansas look much more efficient in the pass game, ranking 18th nationally in EPA per Pass and 15th in Pass Success Rate.
Daniels struggled against the best coverage unit in the Big 12, Texas Tech, and was also significantly affected by the weather last week against Kansas State.
Kansas runs a unique offense with plenty of pre-snap motion, including some inside zone and play-action off the run. The offense can be really effective, creating a ton of mismatches when the quarterback has time to throw.
The last two weeks, Kansas has been up against some really tough fronts. Still, this group should completely gash Oklahoma State, which ranks 121st nationally in Explosiveness allowed and 108th in Defensive Havoc.
Oklahoma State was overwhelmed by a superiorly talented opponent last week when it faced the Texas Tech defense and didn’t stand a chance. Before that, however, the Cowboys had put up 27, 13, 17, and 17 points, showing some ability to move the ball.
Kansas has given up some explosive passes this year, and the Jayhawks rank 12th in the conference in PFF's Tackling grades.
It’s homecoming in Lawrence, Kansas, this weekend. If the opportunity presents itself for Kansas to punch in an extra score or two, the Jayhawks will take it.
However, if the margin is wide, we should see the Jayhawks rotate backups in on defense earlier, to get them some snaps with the game outcome decided.
Oklahoma State will play hard and could punch in a late score of its own as the outcome is decided.
Pick: Over 55 (-110, bet365) | Play to 57
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Betting Trends
