Oregon vs Stanford Odds & Prediction: Expect Defenses to Step Up

Oregon vs Stanford Odds & Prediction: Expect Defenses to Step Up article feature image

Tom Hauck/Getty Images. Pictured: The Oregon Ducks take the field before their game against the Stanford Cardinal at Autzen Stadium on October 1, 2022.

Oregon vs Stanford Odds

Saturday, Sept. 30
6:30 p.m. ET
Pac-12 Network
Oregon Odds
-105o / -115u
Stanford Odds
-105o / -115u
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.

The No. 9 Oregon Ducks embark on their first Pac-12 road game of the season when they face the Stanford Cardinal in Palo Alto.

These teams played some big games in the 2010s, and a bad Cardinal team even upset the Ducks two years ago. So, you never know what will happen in a quarter-full Stanford Stadium.

Oregon has a Pac-12 Championship on its mind, and every game left on its schedule is a unique test.

Although Stanford isn't a good team, Stanford Stadium is a weird environment, and teams often don't respond well to a subdued atmosphere.

Let's dive into the Oregon vs Stanford odds and make our Oregon vs Stanford pick and prediction in this college football betting preview for Saturday, Sept. 30.

Check out our NCAAF Betting Hub for more college football previews, predictions, news and analysis.

Oregon Ducks

The Ducks decided to flex against Colorado last weekend with everyone watching, and now they get an even worse opponent before their bye week.

Oregon should be able to run the ball at will against Stanford. The Ducks average seven yards per carry as a team, and their top three running backs each average at least 7.3 yards per carry. That's terrible news for a Cardinal defense that has given up at least 145 rushing yards in each of their last three games.

And if the Ducks run into trouble on the ground, they can always turn to stud quarterback Bo Nix. The former Auburn Tiger has vaulted himself into the Heisman conversation by completing 79% of his passes for 1,169 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has excellent protection and is thriving in a new offense under offensive coordinator Will Stein.

As a result, Oregon is third nationally in Success Rate.

The Ducks should also produce a consistent pass rush. Oregon has 13 sacks, and Jordan Burch leads the crew with three. On the outside, cornerback Khyree Jackson is a player to watch, with two interceptions.

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Stanford Cardinal

Stanford has not fared well in the continental United States. After a road win over Hawaii in Week 1, the Cardinal were demolished by USC, then suffered home losses to Arizona and FCS Sacramento State.

A big reason why Stanford is the bottom-feeder in the Pac-12 is because it has barely added any transfers. That's how it goes at an academic powerhouse. Stanford can still recruit, but the lack of portal transfers hinders quick improvement, which is evident for the Cardinal this season.

Only four transfers entered the program this offseason, and of those four, only linebacker Gaethan Bernadel and backup quarterback Justin Lamson have made any impact.

That leaves Stanford with a relatively subpar roster. Sophomore quarterback Ashton Daniels has made some plays but still needs improvement, and there aren't any meaningful offensive weapons on the team other than tight end Benjamin Yurosek.

Action Analytics grades Stanford as the 94th-best team in the country, and that sounds about right. There isn't much roster talent, and it's shaping up as another long season for the Cardinal.

Oregon vs Stanford

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Oregon and Stanford match up statistically:

Oregon Offense vs. Stanford Defense
Rush Success9131
Line Yards6120
Pass Success698
Finishing Drives2131
Quality Drives1120
Stanford Offense vs. Oregon Defense
Rush Success5949
Line Yards125101
Pass Success855
Finishing Drives6965
Quality Drives8313
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling27112
PFF Coverage27108
Special Teams SP+2758
Middle 86116
Seconds per Play27.1 (72)28.3 (89)
Rush Rate46.8% (99)56.3% (67)

Oregon vs Stanford

Betting Pick & Prediction

Oregon seems like the easy pick. It has a far superior roster and showed its potential last week against Colorado.

The Ducks not blowing out Stanford would be a story in itself. However, the spread feels a little too large.

While the Cardinal are terrible, they haven't quit on the season yet, as evidenced by their one-point loss to Arizona last week. A Stanford team with some fight left is far more likely to get a backdoor cover than a team running out of the string.

That's why I like the under 61.5 points.

I have almost no confidence in the Cardinal reaching 14 points, and Oregon seems perfectly content scoring 42-45 points and calling it a day.

It's a high total, considering I have no confidence in the Stanford offense.

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