San Diego State-Stanford Betting Odds, Preview: Can Cardinal Get Revenge?

San Diego State-Stanford Betting Odds, Pick

• Spread: Stanford -14
• Total:48.5
• Time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1

Stanford is looking to avenge its straight-up loss to San Diego State as a 9-point favorite from a year ago. The Aztecs controlled the pace and held the Cardinal's passing attack to just 80 yards and a completion percentage under 50%.

San Diego State lost star running back Rashaad Penny to the NFL, but replaces him with Juwan Washington, who had 1,200 yards at 6.6 yards per carry as a backup through his first two years.

Heisman favorite Bryce Love is back for Stanford. But the Cardinal's defense comes with plenty of question marks.

They gave up 5.98 yards per play (90th among FBS teams), their worst mark in more than a decade. The front seven was porous, ranking 80th in yards per carry against.

Market Moves

By Steve Petrella

San Diego State opened +14.5 and has been bet down to +14 and even +13.5 at Pinnacle, a notoriously sharp book.

The total opened at 51.5 at Pinnacle, rose half a point, and has since been bet down to 48.

Nearly 70% of bettors are backing Stanford, but the dollars wagered are much more even. (Check out our live odds page for real-time data.)

Metrics that Matter for Stanford-SDSU

By Steve Petrella

Stanford was had an expected turnover margin of -3 last season, but actually finished +16. That means their fortunate turnover luck earned them 7.3 points per game, a number due to regress in 2018.

These two teams ranked No. 1 and No. 2 in rushing explosiveness in 2017.

Stanford had the second-slowest adjusted pace in the country last season. San Diego State was 16th-slowest.

Bet to Watch

By Collin Wilson

Stanford might be out for revenge after last season, but quarterback K.J. Costello wasn't part of the offense, and the defense completely fell off the table. I don't expect that to change at all this year.

The under trickled down from 53 to 49, and if it keeps going, there's even more value on the Aztecs at +14.

Editor’s note: The opinion on this game is from the individual writer and is based on his research, analysis and perspective. It is independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.