Sugar Bowl Late Sharp Betting Pick: Pro Money Hits Baylor vs. Georgia Spread
David K Purdy/Getty Images. Pictured: Matt Rhule
With the status of arguably the best player in the Sugar Bowl uncertain for the days leading up to the game (and a host of other Georgia players announcing they’ll sit out), oddsmakers have had no choice but to gradually lower the spread as kickoff approaches.
On Wednesday afternoon, reports surfaced that D’Andre Swift would indeed miss the game, and while Swift’s being listed as captain is raising further questions, sportsbooks responded by settling at a line of Georgia -4.
That number apparently caught the eye of sharps.
Odds as of Wednesday at 5:20 p.m. ET. Check out FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Sugar Bowl Late Sharp Betting Pick
Baylor vs. Georgia
8:45 p.m. ET | ESPN
A four-point spread has since become -3.5, even with the Bulldogs still landing the majority of bets (54%). As for the actual money hitting the game, though, it’s Baylor holding a 52% edge, meaning the Bears are getting action from bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.
A late Sports Insights Bet Signal — which indicates market activity in response to sharp action — was triggered on Baylor at +4 this afternoon, sending the spread to its current number.
Many books have even juiced up the Baylor side to around -115, and at least one has furthered the line move to the key number of +3.
Sharp angle: Baylor (moved from +4 to +3.5)