The Chicago Bears just pulled off the biggest trade of the NFL season. The Bears trade involved two first round picks and a fourth round pick being sent to the Tennessee Titans for Jeffery Simmons and a 2028 fifth round pick.
I track Super Bowl prediction markets every week, and this Jeffery Simmons trade forces a fresh look at the Bears Super Bowl odds. Sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION and trade Chicago in the 2027 championship market today.
What are the Bears Super Bowl Odds?
Polymarket prices the Bears at 5.9¢ for Super Bowl LXI, which puts Chicago seventh among all teams. in the NFL odds race That price equals a 5.9% chance, and each Yes share pays $1 if the Bears win in February.
The table below shows the top seven teams on Polymarket this morning competing with Chicago following the Jeffery Simmons trade:
| Rank | Team | Polymarket Price | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers | 14.9¢ | 14.9% |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | 12¢ | 12% |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs | 10.3¢ | 10.3% |
| 4 | Seattle Seahawks | 8¢ | 8% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Rams | 7.5¢ | 7.5% |
| 6 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6¢ | 6% |
| 7 | Chicago Bears | 5.9¢ | 5.9% |
Chicago sits 0.1¢ behind Jacksonville and 9 points behind San Francisco. A $100 trade at 5.9¢ returns about $1,695 if the Bears win, before fees. Prices move fast on trade news, so check the live number before you buy Bears Super Bowl odds.
How the Jeffery Simmons Trade Makes the Bears Better
Jeffery Simmons gives Chicago the interior pass rusher its defense lacks. Here is what the Bears trade delivers:
- Interior pressure. Simmons posted a career high 11 sacks and earned first team All Pro honors in 2025. This season he owns four sacks and six tackles for loss through seven games.
- A real fix. Chicago’s defensive front struggled to pressure quarterbacks consistently, and Simmons upgrades it immediately.
- A win now window. The Bears sit at 5-2 after beating the Patriots in Week 7. Caleb Williams leads the offense, and head coach Ben Johnson has a defensive centerpiece to match.
- NFC North pain. The Lions, Packers and Vikings each face Simmons twice a year.
- A front office statement. GM Ryan Poles never paid more than a second round pick for a player before this deal. Two firsts tell me Chicago plays for a title now.
The price is steep. Tennessee receives 2027 and 2028 first round picks plus a 2027 fourth round pick. Simmons is 29 and signed a three year, $105.8 million extension in June. I still like the fit.
A dominant pass rush travels in January, and I think prediction market apps underrate what the Jeffery Simmons trade does for the Bears Super Bowl odds.
Sign Up With Polymarket Promo Code ACTION and Trade Bears Super Bowl Odds
Follow these steps to trade Bears Super Bowl odds on Polymarket following the Jeff Simmons trade:
- Click this Polymarket sign-up link.
- Create your account with your email address.
- Enter Polymarket promo code ACTION when the sign-up form asks for a code.
- Verify your identity as the app requests, and confirm trading is open in your state.
- Deposit funds into your account.
- Search “Pro Football: 2027 Champion” and select Chicago Bears.
- Buy Yes shares at the listed price, which sits near 5.9¢ right now.
If you like my breakdown of the Bears Super Bowl odds, sign up with Polymarket now and make your Bears trade play before the market fully adjusts.
Check the price again right before you confirm your order, because the Jeffery Simmons trade news hits the market today.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
