World Series Game 2 is tonight at American Family Field, and today's best MLB home run predictions focus on whether the Rays can get to Logan Henderson and the Brewers can crack Drew Rasmussen.
Milwaukee leads the series 1-0 after a 3-2 Game 1 win, and this home run board is loaded with power on both sides, from Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda for Tampa Bay to Jake Bauers and William Contreras for Milwaukee.
Here is a full breakdown of the best home run bets today, built around seven Novig tickets worth trading in World Series Game 2.
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Junior Caminero | HR Yes (19¢) | $426.32 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Jonathan Aranda | HR Yes (14¢) | $614.29 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Yandy Díaz | HR Yes (13¢) | $669.23 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Jake Bauers | HR Yes (16¢) | $525.00 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | William Contreras | HR Yes (13¢) | $669.23 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Jackson Chourio | HR Yes (15¢) | $566.67 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Christian Yelich | HR Yes (10¢) | $900.00 | Trade it on Novig! |
MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Our Top Novig Picks for World Series Game 2
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after redeeming the Novig promo code (ACTION), part of our best MLB home run predictions today.
Prices on these MLB odds can move once lineups are final and first pitch gets closer, so we're building this around the numbers as they stand right now.
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Rays vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers took Game 1 3-2, jumping out to a 2-0 lead in the first inning on a Jackson Chourio single, a Christian Yelich triple, and a William Contreras RBI single. Jacob Misiorowski held Tampa Bay to one run over five innings.
Game 2 sends Logan Henderson (11-3, 2.47 ERA) to the mound for Milwaukee against Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen. Rasmussen is 11-0 with a 1.73 ERA since the All-Star break and has pitched into the seventh inning in all three of his postseason starts, so he's the biggest reason there's real value in looking at the Rays side too.
Henderson, meanwhile, allowed four runs in four-plus innings in NLCS Game 2, and he's coming off a long layoff between starts. That's exactly the kind of spot that makes a home run ticket worth considering.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Junior Caminero
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷�� Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Junior Caminero | HR Yes (19¢) | $426.32 | Trade it now on Novig! |
The Rays' cleanup hitter has the lowest price on the board at 19¢, and it's easy to see why. Caminero is the middle-of-the-order bat Tampa Bay leans on most for power, and he gets a Brewers starter in Logan Henderson, who just had his first career start allowing more than three runs (four runs in four-plus innings in NLCS Game 2). Henderson is also working on a 12-day rest between starts, so there's some rust risk on the other side of this ticket.
A $100 buy at a 19¢ price works out to roughly 526 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Caminero goes deep: this ticket nets a profit of $426.32.
- If Caminero doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 4.3-to-1, the shortest price on the board.
Best Home Run Bets Today – Jonathan Aranda
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Jonathan Aranda | HR Yes (14¢) | $614.29 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Aranda is Tampa Bay's second choice and one of the three bats the Rays need to carry the offense in this series. At 14¢, he sits a tier below Caminero, which gives this ticket a bigger payout for a hitter who is capable of putting one over the fence against a right-hander who may be working on his command after a long layoff.
A $100 buy at a 14¢ price works out to roughly 714 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Aranda homers: this ticket nets a profit of $614.29.
- If Aranda doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 6.1-to-1, a classic single-swing home run ticket.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Today – Yandy Díaz
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Yandy Díaz | HR Yes (13¢) | $669.23 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Díaz is slotted into the leadoff spot as the Rays' DH, which means he's guaranteed the most plate appearances in the lineup. That volume matters on a single-game ticket, and at 13¢, a hitter who sets the tone for the whole order makes this a fair swing for a longer shot.
A $100 buy at a 13¢ price works out to roughly 769 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Díaz connects: this ticket nets a profit of $669.23.
- If Díaz doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 6.7-to-1, a classic single-swing home run ticket.
Best Home Run Bets Today – Jake Bauers
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Jake Bauers | HR Yes (16¢) | $525.00 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Bauers is the shortest Brewers price on the board at 16¢ and bats second behind Jackson Chourio. Milwaukee's offense has been rolling, and Bauers has been a key part of it. This ticket does go against Drew Rasmussen, who has been dominant since the All-Star break, which is exactly why a left-handed power bat priced this high is worth a look.
A $100 buy at a 16¢ price works out to roughly 625 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Bauers goes deep: this ticket nets a profit of $525.00.
- If Bauers doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 5.2-to-1, a classic single-swing home run ticket.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Today – William Contreras
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | William Contreras | HR Yes (13¢) | $669.23 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Contreras led the Brewers' offense in Game 1, going 2-for-3 with an RBI, and he hits fourth in a lineup that has been producing from the top to the middle. At 13¢, this is a cleanup-hitter price on a night when the Brewers need a big swing against a pitcher who has not allowed many.
A $100 buy at a 13¢ price works out to roughly 769 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Contreras homers: this ticket nets a profit of $669.23.
- If Contreras doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 6.7-to-1, a classic single-swing home run ticket.
Best Home Run Bets Today – Jackson Chourio
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Jackson Chourio | HR Yes (15¢) | $566.67 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Chourio led off for Milwaukee and got on base with a single before Christian Yelich's triple and Contreras' RBI single put the Brewers up 2-0. At 15¢, he's priced just ahead of Contreras and gives you the Brewers' most dynamic bat for a single-game swing.
A $100 buy at a 15¢ price works out to roughly 667 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Chourio goes deep: this ticket nets a profit of $566.67.
- If Chourio doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 5.7-to-1, a classic single-swing home run ticket.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Today – Christian Yelich
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB vs MIL (8:00 PM ET) | Christian Yelich | HR Yes (10¢) | $900.00 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Yelich hit the Game 1 triple that gave Milwaukee an early cushion, and he's the DH hitting third. At 10¢, he's the longest shot among our picks, which is exactly why the payout multiple on this one reaches 9-to-1.
A $100 buy at a 10¢ price works out to roughly 1,000 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Yelich homers: this ticket nets a profit of $900.00.
- If Yelich doesn't: the $100 stake is lost, since contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A payout multiple of roughly 9.0-to-1, the longest shot of our picks.
Rays vs Brewers Moneyline
Before we get into the full home run board, here's where World Series Game 2 stands on the moneyline.
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the home favorite on Novig at 53% to win outright, with a 1-0 series lead and the home-field advantage at American Family Field.
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
Tampa Bay is the underdog at 48% to win outright, a nearly even number thanks to Rasmussen's dominant form since the All-Star break. The two sides add up to slightly more than 100% because of the gap between buy prices on each side of the market.
What's Moving the Home Run Market
Prediction markets and prices move for several reasons. The shortest price on the board is Junior Caminero at 19%, followed by Jake Bauers at 16% and Jackson Chourio at 15%, and the top of the board is split between both lineups rather than skewing heavily to one side.
That reflects the pitching matchup. Rasmussen has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last few months, which keeps Milwaukee's hitters in the 10% to 16% range, while Henderson's recent struggles and layoff keep the Rays' top bats right there with them.
Across the board, these MLB home run predictions today line up with each hitter's lineup spot and recent form, not one storyline driving the whole slate.
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MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Final Thoughts
World Series Game 2 looks like a pitching duel on paper, with Rasmussen's dominant second half on one side and Henderson's strong season (with a recent hiccup) on the other. That's exactly why a long-shot home run ticket can be so appealing in a game where runs may be hard to come by.
Caminero, Bauers, and Chourio sit at the top of the board, while Aranda, Díaz, Contreras, and Yelich offer higher payout multiples for traders who want more leverage on a single swing. Whichever side you lean toward, the best home run bets today come down to matching price with lineup spot.
For more on how these markets work, check out the full prediction markets hub, which covers every other sport in season right now.
Novig Promo Code FAQs
What is the Novig promo code for today's MLB home run props?
The current Novig promo code is ACTION. New users who sign up with it can deposit $10 and get $50 in Trade Credits to use on today's World Series Game 2 markets.
What are the best MLB home run predictions today?
Junior Caminero (19%), Jake Bauers (16%) and Jackson Chourio (15%) lead the board for Rays vs. Brewers Game 2, with Jonathan Aranda, Yandy Díaz and William Contreras offering longer payouts.
Who is favored to hit a home run in World Series Game 2?
Rays outfielder Junior Caminero is the shortest favorite at 19%, followed by Brewers first baseman Jake Bauers at 16%.
Who are the starting pitchers for Rays vs Brewers Game 2?
Drew Rasmussen starts for Tampa Bay and Logan Henderson starts for Milwaukee.
How do Novig home run contracts work?
Each contract resolves Yes if the named player hits at least one home run in that specific game, and No if they don't. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it doesn't.
When do today's home run markets resolve?
Each contract resolves once its specific game is final.
What time does Rays vs Brewers Game 2 start?
First pitch is at 8:00 PM ET tonight at American Family Field in Milwaukee, with the game airing on FOX.
Are there more MLB prediction markets to trade today?
Yes. Beyond these home run props, Novig has moneyline and additional markets live for World Series Game 2, so these MLB odds are just one slice of what's tradeable right now.
