Best NBA Player Props Today | NBA Picks: Cavaliers vs 76ers, Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction (October 22)

The Polymarket promo code (ACTION) is perfect to use on Thursday's two-game NBA slate, and this Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction and Nuggets vs Thunder prediction round up the best NBA player props today.

• Philadelphia opens its home schedule with LeBron James and Jaylen Brown after a 106-100 win over the Knicks, while Oklahoma City is also 1-0 after winning in San Antonio.
• Both games carry a 235.5-point total on Polymarket, with Philadelphia a 59% favorite and Oklahoma City a 74% favorite.

Here is our full table of NBA picks from one of the best prediction markets, with six Polymarket trades in each game before we break down every matchup.

Read our dedicated Polymarket review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

Best NBA Player Props Today: Our Top Polymarket Picks for Thursday's NBA Slate

Every pick below is a real trade we would make after redeeming the Polymarket promo code, from the best prediction market apps to our full NBA coverage, and together they make up our NBA picks for the night.

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These NBA predictions can move quickly once lineups are official, and Jarrett Allen and Sam Merrill are still unresolved for Cleveland, so every price below reflects the board as it stands right now.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Prediction

Philadelphia is 1-0 after a 106-100 win over the Knicks, and LeBron James and Jaylen Brown now make their home debuts against Cleveland.

Cleveland reached the Eastern Conference Finals last season before the Knicks swept it, and it added Peyton Watson from Denver. Jarrett Allen is questionable and Sam Merrill is a game-time decision, so this Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction depends on availability.

Best Rebounds Prop Today – Jaylen Brown

Brown grabbed eight rebounds in his Sixers debut, so six is a number he has already cleared this season.

Cleveland is thin up front with Nae'Qwan Tomlin and Khalifa Diop out, which should leave long rebounds for Philadelphia's wings.

At an average price of 60¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 167 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes. Polymarket's board shows 59%, but the ticket fills at 60¢, the price used in the table.

• If Brown grabs six or more rebounds: this ticket returns $162.16.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.6x return on a number he has already hit this season.

Best Points Prop Today – Donovan Mitchell

Mitchell averaged 27.9 points last season, and he remains Cleveland's primary scorer with James Harden sharing creation.

The risk is Philadelphia's defense, which held the Knicks to 37% shooting in the opener.

At an average price of 57.97¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 173 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes. Polymarket's board shows 57%, but the ticket fills at that higher average price, so we use it in the table.

• If Mitchell scores 25 or more points: this ticket returns $167.60.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.7x return, which makes this one of the best NBA player props today for a dependable scorer.

Best Rebounds Prop Today – Jarrett Allen

Allen is Cleveland's top rebounder, but he is questionable with right patellar tendinopathy, the same knee issue that cost him games late last season.

If he sits, Evan Mobley slides to center and this ticket loses, so confirm his status before tip-off.

At an average price of 57¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 175 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Allen grabs eight or more rebounds: this ticket returns $170.35.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.7x return, but the injury tag makes this the riskiest ticket on the Cleveland side.

Best Three-Pointers Prop Today – James Harden

Harden has been a high-volume three-point shooter his whole career, and he now shares creation with Mitchell.

With Max Strus, Dennis Schroder and Keon Ellis gone and Sam Merrill a game-time decision, he carries more of Cleveland's shooting load.

At an average price of 54.19¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 185 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Harden makes three or more threes: this ticket returns $178.84.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.8x return on a shooter who lives on this kind of volume.

Best Points Prop Today – Tyrese Maxey

Maxey scored 28 in the opener after averaging 28.3 last season, and his aggression drove Philadelphia's offense against the Knicks.

He should be able to attack Mitchell and Harden on defense, which makes 25 a realistic number even with LeBron James and Jaylen Brown sharing the ball.

At an average price of 45¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 222 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Maxey scores 25 or more points: this ticket returns $214.04.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 2.1x return on a guard who already topped this number in the opener.

Best Assists Prop Today – James Harden

Harden is one of the league's best passers, but sharing the ball with Mitchell is why 8 is priced below even.

Cleveland has two high-volume creators and a thin supporting cast, which keeps both of them involved in most possessions.

At an average price of 45¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 222 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Harden dishes out eight or more assists: this ticket returns $214.04.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 2.1x return for a veteran playmaker with a high assist ceiling.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Points Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for points in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Evan Mobley (CLE) (Points 15+: Yes 70%): Cleveland's big man gets his touches around the rim and is the main interior option if Allen sits.
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) (Points 10+: Yes 58%): A projected starter next to Maxey, which gives him a steady scoring floor.
• Donovan Mitchell (CLE) (Points 25+: Yes 57%): Cleveland's top scorer at 27.9 points per game last season.
• LeBron James (PHI) (Points 15+: Yes 57%): He scored 14 points in his Sixers debut, one short of this number.
• Jaylen Brown (PHI) (Points 20+: Yes 55%): He scored 19 in the opener and gives Philadelphia a second scoring wing.
• James Harden (CLE) (Points 20+: Yes 47%): He shares creation with Mitchell, which keeps his scoring number near a coin flip.
• Peyton Watson (CLE) (Points 15+: Yes 46%): Cleveland's sign-and-trade addition from Denver is projected to start on the wing.
• Tyrese Maxey (PHI) (Points 25+: Yes 45%): He scored 28 in the opener after averaging 28.3 last season.
• Jaylon Tyson (CLE) (Points 10+: Yes 44%): He joins Cleveland's starting group if Jarrett Allen sits.
• Jarrett Allen (CLE) (Points 15+: Yes 43%): Most of his scoring comes around the rim, and his knee status is the main question.
• Sam Merrill (CLE) (Points 10+: Yes 40%): He is a game-time decision with right elbow soreness.
• Joel Embiid (PHI) (Points 25+: Yes 38%): He shot just 4-of-14 in the opener, and the Sixers will manage his workload carefully.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Rebounds Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for rebounds in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Jaylen Brown (PHI) (Rebounds 6+: Yes 59%): He grabbed eight rebounds in the opener.
• Joel Embiid (PHI) (Rebounds 8+: Yes 57%): He pulled down 11 rebounds in the opener despite the poor shooting.
• Jarrett Allen (CLE) (Rebounds 8+: Yes 57%): Cleveland's top rebounder, with his knee status the key question.
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 53%): Starting guard minutes give him a modest rebounding floor.
• James Harden (CLE) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 50%): His rebounding is secondary to his playmaking, which keeps this near a coin flip.
• Peyton Watson (CLE) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 49%): A long wing with rebounding upside in a thin Cleveland frontcourt.
• Donovan Mitchell (CLE) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 49%): A guard number that depends on Cleveland's game flow.
• Jaylon Tyson (CLE) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 45%): A rotation wing who would see more minutes if Allen sits.
• Tyrese Maxey (PHI) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 45%): He grabbed four rebounds in the opener, right at this number.
• Evan Mobley (CLE) (Rebounds 10+: Yes 44%): A high bar, though he is Cleveland's main interior option if Allen is out.
• LeBron James (PHI) (Rebounds 8+: Yes 41%): He grabbed nine in the opener, so this number is within reach.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Assists Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for assists in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Peyton Watson (CLE) (Assists 2+: Yes 57%): A low bar for a rotation wing in Cleveland's ball movement.
• Jaylen Brown (PHI) (Assists 4+: Yes 56%): He had six assists in the opener.
• Donovan Mitchell (CLE) (Assists 5+: Yes 55%): A lead guard who shares creation with Harden.
• Joel Embiid (PHI) (Assists 4+: Yes 55%): He had six assists in the opener.
• LeBron James (PHI) (Assists 8+: Yes 52%): He had seven assists in the opener and is Philadelphia's connective playmaker.
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) (Assists 3+: Yes 50%): His assist chances depend on the pace of the game.
• Tyrese Maxey (PHI) (Assists 6+: Yes 49%): He had five assists in the opener.
• Jaylon Tyson (CLE) (Assists 2+: Yes 49%): A low bar that depends on how many minutes he gets.
• Evan Mobley (CLE) (Assists 4+: Yes 47%): One of the better passing big men in the league.
• James Harden (CLE) (Assists 8+: Yes 45%): One of the league's best passers, though sharing the ball with Mitchell keeps this below even.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Points + Rebounds + Assists Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for points + rebounds + assists in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Peyton Watson (CLE) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 30+: Yes 92%): Polymarket prices this far above every other number on the board, an outlier worth checking before you trade.
• James Harden (CLE) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 30+: Yes 59%): A playmaker who stacks assists and points in the same game.
• LeBron James (PHI) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 30+: Yes 57%): He had exactly 30 combined in the opener with 14 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.
• Evan Mobley (CLE) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 30+: Yes 53%): Rebounds, scoring and passing all count, and he is Cleveland's top interior option if Allen sits.
• Jaylon Tyson (CLE) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 15+: Yes 53%): A bench wing line that rises if he gets starter minutes.
• Joel Embiid (PHI) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 35+: Yes 52%): He had 30 combined in the opener with 13 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
• Donovan Mitchell (CLE) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 35+: Yes 52%): A scorer who also gets his share of assists and boards.
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 20+: Yes 46%): A starting guard with a modest all-around floor.
• Tyrese Maxey (PHI) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 35+: Yes 44%): He had 37 combined in the opener with 28 points, four rebounds and five assists.
• Jaylen Brown (PHI) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 35+: Yes 37%): He had 33 combined in the opener with 19 points, eight rebounds and six assists.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Three-Point Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for three-pointers in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Donovan Mitchell (CLE) (Three-Pointers 3+: Yes 55%): A high-volume shooter who leads Cleveland's perimeter attack.
• James Harden (CLE) (Three-Pointers 3+: Yes 54%): He carries more of Cleveland's shooting load with Strus and Schroder gone.
• Tyrese Maxey (PHI) (Three-Pointers 3+: Yes 49%): A volume shooter who will keep firing against Cleveland's defense.
• Jaylen Brown (PHI) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 49%): Philadelphia's outside shooting was shaky in the opener, so this is a bounce-back spot.
• Peyton Watson (CLE) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 44%): A new Cleveland wing with a modest three-point floor.
• Joel Embiid (PHI) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 43%): He can space the floor, but volume is the question.
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 43%): A young guard who gets open looks next to Philadelphia's stars.
• Jaylon Tyson (CLE) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 43%): A wing who gets more shots if Cleveland needs scoring.
• LeBron James (PHI) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 41%): Philadelphia's outside shooting was shaky in the opener.
• Evan Mobley (CLE) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 39%): A big man who takes few threes.
• Sam Merrill (CLE) (Three-Pointers 3+: Yes 38%): A shooting specialist, but he is a game-time decision with right elbow soreness.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Steals Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for steals in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Jaylen Brown (PHI) (Steals 1+: Yes 68%): An active wing defender with a steady steal floor.
• James Harden (CLE) (Steals 1+: Yes 66%): A low bar for a guard who handles the ball every possession.
• Peyton Watson (CLE) (Steals 1+: Yes 65%): A long, athletic defender who is likely to see steal chances.
• Tyrese Maxey (PHI) (Steals 2+: Yes 49%): He had three steals in the opener.
• Donovan Mitchell (CLE) (Steals 2+: Yes 39%): A tougher bar for a guard who carries a heavy offensive load.
• LeBron James (PHI) (Steals 2+: Yes 38%): Two steals is a stretch even for a savvy defender.

Cavaliers vs 76ers Blocks Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for blocks in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Joel Embiid (PHI) (Blocks 1+: Yes 70%): He blocked three shots in the opener.
• Jarrett Allen (CLE) (Blocks 1+: Yes 67%): A rim protector, with his knee status the question.
• Evan Mobley (CLE) (Blocks 2+: Yes 52%): One of Cleveland's main rim protectors, and a bigger role if Allen sits.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

Oklahoma City is 1-0 after winning in San Antonio, where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32 points, and it now hosts Denver in its home opener.

Denver makes its season debut after a first-round exit against Minnesota last season, adding DeMar DeRozan while Peyton Watson and Tim Hardaway Jr. left. Julian Strawther is out and Spencer Jones is questionable in this Nuggets vs Thunder prediction.

Best Points Prop Today – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32 in the opener and has stretched his record run of 20-point games to 141.

He averaged 31.1 points last season, and Denver's defense ranked 21st in the league.

At an average price of 59¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 169 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes. Polymarket's board shows 58%, but the ticket fills at 59¢, the price used in the table.

• If Gilgeous-Alexander scores 30 or more points: this ticket returns $164.79.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.6x return on the best scorer in the game.

Best Rebounds Prop Today – Aaron Gordon

Gordon is part of Denver's returning starting five, and the Nuggets slipped badly as a rebounding team last season.

The risk is Oklahoma City's two-big look with Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, which crowds the glass.

At an average price of 54.18¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 185 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Gordon grabs six or more rebounds: this ticket returns $178.87.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.8x return on a starter who needs to help Denver's rebounding.

Best Assists Prop Today – Nikola Jokić

Jokić's passing is the biggest gap in this matchup, since Hartenstein finishes efficiently but creates far less for teammates.

Denver returns its starting five and adds DeMar DeRozan, which gives Jokić more shooters to find.

At an average price of 54¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 185 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Jokić dishes out ten or more assists: this ticket returns $179.44.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 1.8x return on the best passing big man in the league.

Best Points, Rebounds and Assists Prop Today – Nikola Jokić

Jokić scored 32 against Oklahoma City in March, and 50 combined points, rebounds and assists is a number he can reach in a normal game.

Oklahoma City lays 8.5 points at home, so a blowout that trims his minutes is the main risk.

At an average price of 47¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 213 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Jokić reaches 50 combined points, rebounds and assists: this ticket returns $205.21.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is just over a 2x return on the most productive player on the board.

Best Points Prop Today – Jamal Murray

Murray is Denver's other main scorer, and his outside shooting is the Nuggets' best route to keeping pace with Oklahoma City.

He returns with the rest of Denver's starting five, a group that outscored opponents by 13.5 points per 100 possessions last season.

At an average price of 39¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 256 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Murray scores 25 or more points: this ticket returns $245.97.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 2.5x return on a scorer who can get hot in a hurry.

Best Three-Pointers Prop Today – Jared McCain

McCain scored 20 points in Oklahoma City's opener, and the Thunder shot well from three in San Antonio.

With Nikola Topic out and Otega Oweh out for the season, Oklahoma City's backcourt depth is thin, which should keep McCain involved.

At an average price of 37.97¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 263 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes. Polymarket's board shows 37%, but the ticket fills at that higher average price, so we use it in the table.

• If McCain makes three or more threes: this ticket returns $252.48.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is roughly a 2.5x return on a shooter coming off a 20-point opener.

Nuggets vs Thunder Points Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for points in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Cameron Johnson (DEN) (Points 10+: Yes 71%): A starter in Denver's returning first five.
• Ajay Mitchell (OKC) (Points 10+: Yes 66%): He comes off the bench behind Gilgeous-Alexander.
• Jamal Murray (DEN) (Points 20+: Yes 64%): Denver's other main scorer next to Jokić.
• Marvin Bagley III (DEN) (Points 5+: Yes 59%): Denver's backup big man behind Jokić.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Points 30+: Yes 58%): He scored 32 in the opener and has run his streak of 20-point games to 141.
• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Points 25+: Yes 57%): He scored 32 against Oklahoma City in March.
• Jared McCain (OKC) (Points 10+: Yes 54%): He scored 20 points in the opener.
• Chet Holmgren (OKC) (Points 15+: Yes 51%): He scored 14 in the opener.
• Aaron Gordon (DEN) (Points 15+: Yes 49%): A starter who scores mostly around the basket.
• Jalen Williams (OKC) (Points 20+: Yes 47%): A starting wing and Oklahoma City's second-best scorer.
• Cason Wallace (OKC) (Points 10+: Yes 45%): A starter in Oklahoma City's opener lineup.
• DeMar DeRozan (DEN) (Points 15+: Yes 42%): Denver's new addition and a veteran scorer.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) (Points 10+: Yes 40%): Oklahoma City's starting center, more of a screener and finisher.
• Christian Braun (DEN) (Points 15+: Yes 26%): A starter with a high bar for his scoring role.

Nuggets vs Thunder Rebounds Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for rebounds in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Rebounds 12+: Yes 61%): Denver's top rebounder and the center of its offense.
• Chet Holmgren (OKC) (Rebounds 8+: Yes 61%): He had seven rebounds in the opener.
• Jamal Murray (DEN) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 59%): A guard number that depends on game flow.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 58%): A low bar for a high-usage guard.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) (Rebounds 8+: Yes 56%): Oklahoma City's starting center and a reliable glass cleaner.
• Jalen Williams (OKC) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 55%): He had seven rebounds in the opener.
• Aaron Gordon (DEN) (Rebounds 6+: Yes 54%): A starter who needs to help Denver's rebounding.
• Cameron Johnson (DEN) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 53%): A starting forward with a steady rebounding floor.
• Marvin Bagley III (DEN) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 51%): He averaged 6.1 rebounds in 20 minutes last season.
• DeMar DeRozan (DEN) (Rebounds 3+: Yes 47%): A wing who rebounds when he gets minutes.
• Christian Braun (DEN) (Rebounds 5+: Yes 44%): A starting guard with a high bar for his position.
• Ajay Mitchell (OKC) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 40%): A bench guard with a tough rebounding bar.
• Cason Wallace (OKC) (Rebounds 4+: Yes 40%): A starting guard with a tough rebounding bar.

Nuggets vs Thunder Assists Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for assists in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Cameron Johnson (DEN) (Assists 2+: Yes 63%): A low bar for a starting forward who moves the ball.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Assists 6+: Yes 62%): He had four assists in the opener, so this is a high bar.
• Christian Braun (DEN) (Assists 2+: Yes 59%): A starting guard with a low bar.
• Jamal Murray (DEN) (Assists 6+: Yes 57%): Denver's lead guard next to Jokić.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) (Assists 3+: Yes 55%): A passing big man who handles a lot of Oklahoma City's high-post action.
• DeMar DeRozan (DEN) (Assists 3+: Yes 54%): A veteran creator who adds playmaking to Denver's second unit.
• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Assists 10+: Yes 53%): Denver's passing engine and the best distributor in the game.
• Jalen Williams (OKC) (Assists 5+: Yes 50%): A wing who handles the ball in Oklahoma City's offense.
• Aaron Gordon (DEN) (Assists 3+: Yes 46%): He gets assists mostly off cuts and short rolls.
• Chet Holmgren (OKC) (Assists 2+: Yes 45%): A low bar for a big man who can pass out of the post.
• Ajay Mitchell (OKC) (Assists 4+: Yes 44%): A bench guard who plays on the ball.
• Cason Wallace (OKC) (Assists 3+: Yes 38%): A defense-first starter with a high bar for assists.

Nuggets vs Thunder Points + Rebounds + Assists Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for points + rebounds + assists in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• DeMar DeRozan (DEN) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 20+: Yes 62%): A veteran scorer with a low bar in a new-look Denver lineup.
• Chet Holmgren (OKC) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 25+: Yes 54%): He had 14 points and seven rebounds in the opener.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 20+: Yes 54%): A starting center who stacks boards and assists.
• Jalen Williams (OKC) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 30+: Yes 49%): He had seven rebounds in the opener and scores on top of that.
• Aaron Gordon (DEN) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 25+: Yes 48%): Scoring and rebounding both count for Denver's starting forward.
• Cameron Johnson (DEN) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 20+: Yes 48%): A starting forward who contributes in all three categories.
• Cason Wallace (OKC) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 15+: Yes 48%): A starting guard with a modest all-around floor.
• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 50+: Yes 47%): A high bar that Jokić can reach in a normal game.
• Jamal Murray (DEN) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 35+: Yes 46%): Scoring does most of the work for Denver's lead guard.
• Ajay Mitchell (OKC) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 20+: Yes 42%): A bench guard with a tough combined number.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Points + Rebounds + Assists 45+: Yes 41%): A high bar even for the best scorer in the game.

Nuggets vs Thunder Three-Point Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for three-pointers in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Jared McCain (OKC) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 66%): He scored 20 points in the opener.
• Cameron Johnson (DEN) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 64%): A starting forward who shoots threes.
• Jamal Murray (DEN) (Three-Pointers 3+: Yes 58%): Denver's best route to keeping pace is Murray's outside shooting.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 56%): A guard who mixes threes into his scoring.
• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 52%): A big man who takes and makes threes.
• Aaron Gordon (DEN) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 50%): A forward who takes threes when defenses sag.
• Cason Wallace (OKC) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 42%): A starting guard with a modest three-point floor.
• Christian Braun (DEN) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 40%): A starting guard who shoots when open.
• Ajay Mitchell (OKC) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 36%): A bench guard with a tough bar.
• Chet Holmgren (OKC) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 35%): A big man who can stretch the floor but takes few threes.
• Jalen Williams (OKC) (Three-Pointers 2+: Yes 34%): A wing who prefers to attack off the dribble.

Nuggets vs Thunder Steals Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for steals in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Jamal Murray (DEN) (Steals 1+: Yes 64%): A low bar for Denver's lead guard.
• Cason Wallace (OKC) (Steals 2+: Yes 55%): A defense-first guard and one of the Thunder's top ball hawks.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Steals 2+: Yes 44%): A guard with active hands.
• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Steals 2+: Yes 40%): A big man with quick hands in passing lanes.
• Jalen Williams (OKC) (Steals 2+: Yes 36%): A wing defender with a tough bar.

Nuggets vs Thunder Blocks Props

Every player Polymarket has priced for blocks in this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Nikola Jokić (DEN) (Blocks 1+: Yes 60%): A low bar for Denver's center.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) (Blocks 1+: Yes 58%): Oklahoma City's starting center and a rim protector.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) (Blocks 1+: Yes 58%): A guard who gets his blocks on the weak side.
• Chet Holmgren (OKC) (Blocks 2+: Yes 55%): One of the league's premier shot blockers.

What's Moving the Market for Thursday's NBA Predictions

Prediction markets and prices move for several reasons, and the clearest money is on Philadelphia, which rose four points to 59% on the moneyline while its spread price also climbed four points to 50% at 3.5.

Oklahoma City's spread price rose four points to 51% at 8.5, so both home teams are drawing support in these NBA predictions.

On the Cleveland side, Jaylon Tyson fell 16 points to 44% for 10+ points and Sam Merrill fell 15 points to 38% for 3+ threes, which may reflect lineup uncertainty with Allen questionable and Merrill a game-time decision.

In Denver, Nikola Jokić's 50+ points, rebounds and assists price dropped 22 points to 47%, and DeMar DeRozan's 20+ combined price fell 24 points to 62%, though Polymarket does not show the reason behind any move.

How to Trade the Best NBA Player Props Today on Polymarket

Ready to get in on these 12 trades from the best NBA player props today? Here is exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading Thursday's board:

• Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
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NBA Picks: Final Thoughts

Philadelphia and Oklahoma City both enter as favorites, but our NBA picks lean on stars with a clear role, from Tyrese Maxey and Donovan Mitchell in the Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokić in the Nuggets vs Thunder prediction.

The longest shots are Jamal Murray and Jared McCain at roughly 2.5x, while Jaylen Brown and Gilgeous-Alexander are the shortest prices at roughly 1.6x.

Check the injury reports before tip-off, since Jarrett Allen and Sam Merrill are both unresolved, and treat these NBA predictions as a starting point rather than a guarantee.

NBA Predictions: Polymarket Promo Code FAQs

What Are the Best NBA Player Props Today?

The best NBA player props today include Jaylen Brown 6+ rebounds, Donovan Mitchell 25+ points, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points and Nikola Jokić 10+ assists, with six trades in each game.

What Are the Best NBA Picks for Thursday?

Our best NBA picks for Thursday span both games, from Tyrese Maxey 25+ points and James Harden 3+ three-pointers to Jamal Murray 25+ points and Jared McCain 3+ three-pointers.

What Are the Best NBA Predictions for Thursday?

Our NBA predictions lean on stars in clear roles, with Philadelphia a 59% favorite and Oklahoma City a 74% favorite on Polymarket's moneyline.

What Is Our Cavaliers vs 76ers Prediction?

Philadelphia is a 59% favorite, and our Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction centers on Jaylen Brown's rebounds, Donovan Mitchell's and Tyrese Maxey's scoring, and James Harden's assists and threes.

What Is Our Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction?

Oklahoma City is a 74% favorite, and our Nuggets vs Thunder prediction leans on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring, Nikola Jokić's passing and Jared McCain's three-point shooting.

How Do I Use the Polymarket Promo Code for NBA Props?

Create a Polymarket account, make a qualifying deposit and enter the promo code shown in this article, then trade any of the Yes or No contracts above.

How Do Polymarket NBA Player Prop Contracts Work?

Each contract resolves Yes if the player reaches the stated stat line in that game and No if he does not. Every share pays out one dollar if your side is correct and nothing if it is not.

When Do Tonight's NBA Markets Resolve?

Each contract resolves once its game is final, based on official NBA box score data.