Look no further for an Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction if you seek NCAAF picks today, Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026. The Polymarket promo code (ACTION) is my favorite prediction market promo to recommend to new traders ahead of this Saturday night SEC showdown in Austin.
- No. 7 Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1 SEC) is coming off a 31-3 rout of Missouri behind four touchdowns from Trinidad Chambliss. Its lone loss came on the road at Florida.
- No. 19 Texas (4-2, 1-2 SEC) has dropped back-to-back games to Oklahoma and Florida by three points each. Star edge Colin Simmons is doubtful with a high ankle sprain.
Here are my CFB best bets today for Texas vs. Ole Miss, all priced on one of the best prediction markets:
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas ML | Yes | 59.46¢ | $163.57 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Ole Miss +6.5 (Texas -6.5 NO) | No | 59¢ | $164.79 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Texas 2H Winner | Yes | 55¢ | $176.30 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Under 27.5 (Over NO) (1H) | No | 54.59¢ | $177.56 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Under 54.5 (Over NO) | No | 51¢ | $189.62 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Ole Miss 1H Winner | Yes | 43¢ | $223.69 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
Read our Action Network dedicated Polymarket review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms to trade Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction markets at.
Ole Miss vs. Texas Prediction: Best NCAAF Picks Today on Polymarket
Every Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction below is a real trade I submitted on Polymarket, which makes these the best college football picks today with real money behind them. Compare other platforms in our best prediction market apps guide, or head to our NCAAF hub for more college football coverage.
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Best Moneyline Pick Today – Texas to Beat Ole Miss
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas ML | Yes | 59.46¢ | $163.57 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Texas is the right side of the moneyline because it has the home field and the market behind it.
Sportsbooks have the Longhorns near -165, which works out to roughly a 62% implied chance, so Polymarket's 59.46¢ entry price is a touch cheaper. In my Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction, that edge is enough for Texas to hold on at home.
This is a desperate Texas team, not a broken one. Both losses came by three points, Texas led Florida 17-3 in the second quarter, and head coach Steve Sarkisian confirmed Arch Manning remains the starter.
Ole Miss has the hotter offense, but its only loss this season came on the road, 52-28 at Florida, and this is its first trip to Austin since 2013. The Simmons injury is the main reason this price is not higher.
On Polymarket, I bought Yes on Texas at an average price of 59.46¢ with $100 entered, and the ticket shows a $163.57 return.
- If Texas wins outright: $163.57 returned on the $100 trade.
- If Ole Miss wins: the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.64x return on the stake.
Best Spread Pick Today – Ole Miss +6.5
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss +6.5 (Texas -6.5 NO) | No | 59¢ | $164.79 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
The Polymarket spread contract asks whether Texas wins by more than 6.5 points, so buying No means Ole Miss wins or loses by six or fewer.
Sportsbooks have Texas between -3 and -3.5 in the current CFB odds, so this ticket adds about three points of cushion on top of the consensus number.
Texas has not been built to win big against good teams. Its Ohio State win and both losses were decided by three points or fewer, and Florida held the offense under 300 yards.
Ole Miss's 52-28 loss at Florida and Simmons' expected absence show how this could get away from Texas. Still, a 6.5-point cushion is a lot for a game that projects as a one-score affair.
I bought No at an average price of 59¢ with $100 entered, and the ticket shows a $164.79 return.
- If Ole Miss wins or loses by six or fewer: $164.79 returned on the $100 trade.
- If Texas wins by seven or more: the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.65x return on the stake.
Best 2nd Half Pick Today – Texas to Win the Second Half
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas 2H Winner | Yes | 55¢ | $176.30 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
This is the most script-driven ticket on the board, built around Texas answering at home. If Ole Miss gets its usual fast start, Texas has the crowd, the halftime adjustments and a quarterback whose coach says he needs to be better.
The recent second-half history cuts the other way, which is why the price sits at 55¢ instead of higher. Florida outscored Texas 17-7 after halftime last week, while Ole Miss outscored Missouri 10-0 after the break.
My college football predictions lean on the Longhorns' defense, which has been the steadier unit all season, and on a home team that gets one more look at fixing its offense after halftime.
I bought Yes on Texas to win the second half at an average price of 55¢ with $100 entered, and the ticket shows a $176.30 return.
- If Texas wins the second half: $176.30 returned on the $100 trade.
- If Texas does not win the second half: the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.76x return on the stake.
Best 1st Half Total Pick Today – Under 27.5 Points
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 (Over NO) (1H) | No | 54.59¢ | $177.56 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Both teams' most recent first halves landed under this number. Ole Miss and Missouri combined for 24 first-half points, and Texas and Florida combined for 27.
Texas has been tentative on offense, with Manning averaging 215.8 passing yards per game, and Ole Miss leaned on the ground game against Missouri, rushing for 257 yards. Those CFB predictions point to a measured start rather than a shootout.
The risk is Chambliss, whose offense put up 21 first-half points on Missouri by itself, and a Texas defense that may be without Simmons.
I bought No on Over 27.5 first-half points at an average price of 54.59¢ with $100 entered, and the ticket shows a $177.56 return.
- If the first half finishes with 27 or fewer points: $177.56 returned on the $100 trade.
- If the first half finishes with 28 or more points: the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.78x return on the stake.
Best Total Pick Today – Under 54.5 Points
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 (Over NO) | No | 51¢ | $189.62 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Texas' last two games each finished with 51 points, and Ole Miss and Missouri combined for just 34. Polymarket's 54.5 total is also about a point above the 53.5 number in the NCAAF odds at sportsbooks, which gives Under tickets a little extra room.
The counterpoint is Ole Miss's scoreboard history, with games against Florida (80 points), Vanderbilt (69) and LSU (56) all clearing this number.
Texas' offense has not shown that kind of firepower, though, and these CFB predictions lean toward a slower, run-heavy script.
I bought No on Over 54.5 total points at an average price of 51¢ with $100 entered, and the ticket shows a $189.62 return.
- If the game finishes with 54 or fewer points: $189.62 returned on the $100 trade.
- If the game finishes with 55 or more points: the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.90x return on the stake.
Best 1st Half Pick Today – Ole Miss to Win the First Half
| 🏈 CFB Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss 1H Winner | Yes | 43¢ | $223.69 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Ole Miss starts fast. It led Missouri 21-3 at halftime and finished with 498 total yards, 257 of them on the ground.
Chambliss has thrown a touchdown pass in 19 straight games, and Kewan Lacy and Makhi Frazier each topped 100 rushing yards last week. Texas, meanwhile, was held under 300 yards by Florida.
The price is 43¢ because Texas jumped out 10-0 on Florida a week ago, so an early lead for the home side is not out of the question. With Texas the home favorite in most NCAA predictions, that keeps the Rebels' first-half price well under 50¢.
I bought Yes on Ole Miss to win the first half at an average price of 43¢ with $100 entered, and the ticket shows a $223.69 return.
- If Ole Miss wins the first half: $223.69 returned on the $100 trade.
- If Ole Miss does not win the first half: the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 2.24x return on the stake.
What's Moving the Market: Ole Miss vs. Texas CFB Odds
Polymarket has Texas at 59% and Ole Miss at 42% on the moneyline, a little below the roughly 62% implied by the Longhorns' -165 sportsbook price.
Prediction markets price every side as its own contract, so it pays to compare them with traditional CFB odds before you buy any of the CFB best bets today.
Injuries are the biggest swing factor. Simmons is doubtful with a high ankle sprain after leading Texas with 10.5 sacks, and running back Hollywood Smothers is questionable with a shoulder issue, so late-week reports could move both the spread and the total.
Manning's status is settled for now, since Sarkisian has confirmed he starts, but any change under center would reshuffle the whole board. Check our NCAAF Odds page for the full sportsbook board before locking in the best college football picks today.
How to Trade These College Football Predictions on Polymarket
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction markets:
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION to get started!
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18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Final Thoughts on My Best College Football Picks Today
Put together, the six tickets tell one story: Ole Miss jumps ahead in a low-scoring first half, Texas stays within a score at home and closes, and the game stays under the total.
That is how this Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction fits together, and it is why these are my best NCAAF picks today.
Want more NCAA predictions and college football predictions for Week 8? Browse NCAAF Futures for the season-long picture, and find more NCAAF Prediction Market Promo Codes for other platforms.
FAQs
What Is the Best Ole Miss vs. Texas Prediction?
My Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction is Texas to win outright, Ole Miss to cover +6.5, the Under 54.5 and a low-scoring first half, with Texas finishing stronger after halftime. All six picks are real trades on Polymarket.
What Are the Best NCAAF Picks Today for Ole Miss vs. Texas?
The best NCAAF picks today for this game are Texas on the moneyline at 59.46¢, Ole Miss +6.5 at 59¢ and Texas to win the second half at 55¢. Each price comes from a live Polymarket trade ticket.
What Are the Best College Football Picks Today on Polymarket?
For Week 8, my best college football picks today on Polymarket are the six Ole Miss vs. Texas trades listed above, led by the Texas moneyline and the Ole Miss spread.
What Are the CFB Best Bets Today for Texas vs. Ole Miss?
The CFB best bets today for Texas vs. Ole Miss include the Under 54.5 at 51¢ and Under 27.5 first-half points at 54.59¢, since both teams' most recent games finished under those numbers.
What Do College Football Predictions Say About Ole Miss vs. Texas?
College football predictions are split. Sportsbooks make Texas roughly a field-goal favorite and Polymarket gives the Longhorns a 59% chance on the moneyline, while some analysts lean toward the Rebels because of Trinidad Chambliss.
How Do CFB Predictions Work on a Prediction Market?
Each of the CFB predictions on Polymarket is a Yes or No contract priced between 1¢ and 99¢. If your side is right, the contract settles at full value, and if it is wrong, you lose the amount you paid.
Where Can I Find NCAA Predictions This Week?
You can find NCAA predictions for every Week 8 game by browsing the Action Network NCAAF hub and its prediction markets section.
What Are the Current CFB Odds for Ole Miss vs. Texas?
The current CFB odds have Texas as a 3 to 3.5 point favorite with a total near 53.5 and a moneyline around -165. Polymarket's board shows Texas at 59% and Ole Miss at 42% to win outright.
Where Can I Find the Latest NCAAF Odds?
The Action Network NCAAF odds page lists the latest lines and totals for every game, and the NCAAF futures page covers season-long markets.
How Do I Use the Polymarket Promo Code?
Create a Polymarket account, make a qualifying deposit and enter the promo code during signup to unlock the trading bonus. Check the terms and conditions for eligibility details.
