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Best NFL Player Props Today | Best NFL Prop Bets Today: First TD, Anytime TD Scorer Prediction Picks (Week 7)

Best NFL Player Props Today | Best NFL Prop Bets Today: First TD, Anytime TD Scorer Prediction Picks (Week 7) article feature image
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Action Network. Kalshi promo code graphic showing a $55 trading bonus for Week 7 NFL player props.

The Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) fits perfectly on a loaded Week 7 Sunday, and this slate breakdown rounds up the best NFL player props today across five marquee games.

  • Five games across three windows give traders a full day of props, from two 1 p.m. kickoffs through a Chiefs vs. Seahawks showdown on Sunday Night Football.
  • The Kalshi board ranges from near coin flips on yardage and touchdowns to true long shots that return more than 6x the stake.

Here is every pick at a glance, built from the live Kalshi board, one of the best prediction markets for the best NFL prop bets today.

🏈 Game (Start)🏷️ Player Prop: Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It
CIN vs BAL (1:00 PM ET)Ja'Marr Chase 100+ Receiving Yards: Yes | 35¢$273.25Trade it on Kalshi!
CIN vs BAL (1:00 PM ET)Derrick Henry First TD Scorer: Yes | 21¢$439.35Trade it on Kalshi!
SF vs ATL (1:00 PM ET)George Kittle 1+ Anytime TD: Yes | 44¢$218.68Trade it on Kalshi!
SF vs ATL (1:00 PM ET)Bijan Robinson 100+ Rushing Yards: Yes | 40¢$239.90Trade it on Kalshi!
GB vs DET (4:25 PM ET)Jordan Love 3+ Passing TD: Yes | 33¢$289.45Trade it on Kalshi!
GB vs DET (4:25 PM ET)Amon-Ra St. Brown First TD Scorer: Yes | 14¢$642.46Trade it on Kalshi!
LAR vs LV (4:25 PM ET)Ashton Jeanty 50+ Rushing Yards: No | 49¢$197.04Trade it on Kalshi!
LAR vs LV (4:25 PM ET)Brock Bowers 1+ Anytime TD: Yes | 45¢$209.71Trade it on Kalshi!
KC vs SEA (8:20 PM ET)Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing TD: Yes | 13¢$674.42Trade it on Kalshi!
KC vs SEA (8:20 PM ET)Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ Anytime TD: Yes | 10¢$940.70Trade it on Kalshi!

Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

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Best NFL Player Props Today: Our Top Kalshi Picks for Week 7

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on one of the best prediction market apps, and our NFL coverage tracks every line before kickoff.

Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!

Kalshi prices move fast once inactives drop, so we built the best NFL prop bets today around the numbers on the board right now.

Bengals vs Ravens Prediction

Cincinnati (3-2) heads to Baltimore (4-2) still chasing its first AFC North win of the season, and the quarterback picture on the other sideline drives much of this market.

Lamar Jackson logged another limited practice with an ankle injury, and a sharp swing in the Bengals vs. Ravens odds flipped Cincinnati from road underdog to favorite, a hint that Tyler Huntley could start.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Ja'Marr Chase 100+ Yards

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Ja'Marr Chase 100+ Receiving YardsYes | 35¢$273.25Trade it now on Kalshi!

Ja'Marr Chase owns Baltimore, with 75 catches for 1,204 yards and eight touchdowns in 10 career games against the Ravens.

That history clashes with his 2026 form, as Chase has the slowest yardage start of his career and has yet to post a 100-yard game this season.

Marlon Humphrey drew attention this week with an odd comment about the matchup, and a rivalry spot like this one tends to bring out Chase's best.

At 35¢, a $100 buy covers roughly 286 contracts, and Kalshi lists a max payout of $273.25 once fees and order book depth factor in.

  • If Chase clears 100 receiving yards: a return of $273.25.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's about 2.7x the stake, and it ranks among the best NFL player props today in the early window.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – Derrick Henry

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Derrick Henry First TD ScorerYes | 21¢$439.35Trade it now on Kalshi!

Bengals safety Bryan Cook called Derrick Henry a freight train this week, and he knows the matchup well after holding Henry to 46 and 42 rushing yards in two Chiefs wins over Baltimore.

A backup quarterback start tilts the Ravens even harder toward the run, and that puts Henry at the center of every early red zone trip.

At 21¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 476 contracts, with a stated max payout of $439.35.

  • If Henry scores the game's first touchdown: a return of $439.35.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's close to 4.4x the stake, and it makes Henry our strongest first TD scorer prediction in the early window.

The Bengals vs. Ravens game opens the slate, and the 1 p.m. kickoff brings the day's best run-and-tight-end matchup.

49ers vs Falcons Prediction

San Francisco arrives in Atlanta still unbeaten, with Brock Purdy sitting atop the MVP race and the defense ranking sixth in EPA allowed per play.

The 2-4 Falcons counter with Bijan Robinson and a defense that has bled production to tight ends, which shapes both picks here and the full 49ers vs. Falcons odds board.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – George Kittle 1+ Touchdown

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
George Kittle 1+ Anytime TDYes | 44¢$218.68Trade it now on Kalshi!

George Kittle leads all tight ends with five touchdown catches, and only two pass-catchers in the league have more.

He topped 65 receiving yards in four of six games and found the end zone in every one, while Atlanta has already surrendered four touchdowns to tight ends.

Falcons linebacker Kendal Daniels and Divine Deablo both carry injury questions, and with Deebo Samuel out and Mike Evans uncertain, Purdy leans on Kittle even more.

At 44¢, a $100 buy covers roughly 227 contracts, with a stated max payout of $218.68.

  • If Kittle scores a touchdown: you get $218.68 back.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's more than 2x the stake, and Kittle leads our Week 7 anytime TD scorer picks.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Bijan Robinson 100+ Yards

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Bijan Robinson 100+ Rushing YardsYes | 40¢$239.90Trade it now on Kalshi!

Bijan Robinson piled up 641 rushing yards on 111 carries through six games, a 5.8-yard average that ranks among the best in the league.

San Francisco's run defense shows real cracks underneath its strong overall profile, allowing 1.5 yards before contact per rush and posting the fifth-worst stuff rate in the NFL at 16.9%.

At 40¢, a $100 buy gets you 250 contracts, with a stated max payout of $239.90.

  • If Robinson clears 100 rushing yards: a return of $239.90.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's about 2.4x the stake on the most explosive back on the board.

Packers vs Lions Prediction

Detroit (3-2) returns to Ford Field after its bye for its first division game of the season, and Amon-Ra St. Brown framed the matchup as the perfect chance to prove the Lions still own the NFC North.

Green Bay (4-2) brings Jordan Love off his best passing start yet, but the Packers vs. Lions odds reflect a Detroit pass rush that leads the league with 20 sacks.

Best Passing Touchdowns Prop Today – Jordan Love 3+ Touchdowns

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Jordan Love 3+ Passing TDYes | 33¢$289.45Trade it now on Kalshi!

Jordan Love ranks third in the league with 1,684 passing yards through six games, and he threw four touchdown passes against Detroit last Thanksgiving.

The Lions have allowed 1,487 passing yards, the fifth-most in the NFL, though their pass rush and a Packers line rebuilt after injuries make that number volatile.

Green Bay also leads the league with 20 dropped passes, the biggest risk to a three-touchdown day.

At 33¢, a $100 buy covers roughly 303 contracts, with a stated max payout of $289.45.

  • If Love throws three or more touchdowns: a return of $289.45.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's nearly 2.9x the stake in a shootout setup against a leaky secondary.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – Amon-Ra St. Brown

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Amon-Ra St. Brown First TD ScorerYes | 14¢$642.46Trade it now on Kalshi!

St. Brown admitted he fell below his own standard last game because of fumbles, and a motivated No. 1 receiver at home makes a strong opening-script target.

Green Bay's new three-safety look plays fast and hunts turnovers, but St. Brown said the Lions have answers ready, and losing veteran Tom Kennedy only concentrates more early looks on him.

At 14¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 714 contracts, with a stated max payout of $642.46.

  • If St. Brown scores the game's first touchdown: a return of $642.46.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's more than 6.4x the stake, making St. Brown the top long-shot first TD scorer prediction on the slate.

Detroit and Green Bay headline the 4:25 window, and the other late game features a backfield in real trouble.

Rams vs Raiders Prediction

Las Vegas opened 3-0 and has since dropped three straight, including a 33-30 home loss to Buffalo last Sunday.

Now the Raiders host the 2-4 Rams, and the Rams vs. Raiders odds leave plenty of room to fade a stalled ground game while backing the one weapon Las Vegas cannot afford to ignore.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Ashton Jeanty Under 50 Yards

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Ashton Jeanty 50+ Rushing YardsNo | 49¢$197.04Trade it now on Kalshi!

Ashton Jeanty sits at 313 rushing yards on 98 carries, a 3.2-yard average that trails even his disappointing rookie mark.

Fourth-round rookie Mike Washington averages 4.9 yards per carry behind the same line, and Dylan Laube also figures into the plan as coach Klint Kubiak tries to jump-start the run game.

At 49¢ on the No side, a $100 buy covers roughly 204 contracts, with a stated max payout of $197.04.

  • If Jeanty finishes under 50 rushing yards: a return of $197.04.
  • If he reaches 50: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's nearly 2x the stake on a near coin flip that leans against a back losing work.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Brock Bowers 1+ Touchdown

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Brock Bowers 1+ Anytime TDYes | 45¢$209.71Trade it now on Kalshi!

Brock Bowers played 65 of 66 offensive snaps against Buffalo but didn't see a target until late in the third quarter, finishing with season lows of four catches and 70 yards.

He still drew nine targets once the Raiders found him, and a game plan that gets him the ball earlier puts him in line for red zone work against the Rams.

At 45¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 222 contracts, with a stated max payout of $209.71.

  • If Bowers scores a touchdown: a return of $209.71.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's about 2.1x the stake, and Bowers rounds out the strongest anytime TD scorer prediction plays of the afternoon.

That closes the afternoon, and Sunday night delivers the toughest defense on the entire slate.

Chiefs vs Seahawks Prediction

Kansas City brings an unbeaten record to Seattle after a 22-6 win over the Chargers, while the 3-3 Seahawks sit second in the NFC West.

Seattle allows the fewest yards per game in the league, and both Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes called it the best defense they have seen, which frames every number on the Chiefs vs. Seahawks odds board.

Best Passing Touchdowns Prop Today – Patrick Mahomes 3+ Touchdowns

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing TDYes | 13¢$674.42Trade it now on Kalshi!

Mahomes said Seattle makes offenses earn every drive, and Mike Macdonald's defenses held the Chiefs to 17 points in an AFC Championship Game during his Baltimore tenure.

That's exactly why this ticket pays so well: Kansas City scored just two touchdowns last week, and Kenneth Walker gives the offense a ground option it didn't have in past seasons.

At 13¢, a $100 buy covers roughly 769 contracts, with a stated max payout of $674.42.

  • If Mahomes throws three or more touchdowns: a return of $674.42.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's nearly 6.7x the stake, a primetime swing on the best quarterback in the sport.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ Touchdowns

🏈 Week 7 Prediction🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade It Now
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ Anytime TDYes | 10¢$940.70Trade it now on Kalshi!

Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with seven receiving touchdowns, and no pass-catcher in the league finds the end zone more often.

Kansas City's plan centers on containing him, but Seattle's offense runs through Smith-Njigba in the red zone, and a two-score night carries real upside at this price.

At 10¢, a $100 buy equals 1,000 contracts, with a stated max payout of $940.70.

  • If Smith-Njigba scores two or more touchdowns: a return of $940.70.
  • If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That's more than 9.4x the stake, the biggest payout on the board.

What's Moving the Anytime TD Scorer Prediction Market

Prediction markets and prices move for many reasons, and quarterback news drives the biggest early swing on this slate.

The Ravens market reacts to every Lamar Jackson update, and a Huntley start pushes more first-touchdown equity toward Derrick Henry.

Our anytime TD scorer prediction picks favor tight ends, with George Kittle and Brock Bowers both priced near 45%, because each faces a matchup that has struggled to cover the position.

On the other end, the Seahawks defense keeps the Sunday night prices long, which explains why Mahomes and Smith-Njigba offer the biggest multipliers among the best NFL prop bets today.

How to Trade the Best NFL Prop Bets Today on Kalshi

Ready to get in on this Week 7 board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:

  • Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
  • Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
  • Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
  • When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!

📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Final Thoughts: Best NFL Player Props Today

Kittle and Bowers anchor the safer end of this board, while Chase and Robinson offer strong yardage plays in two of the day's best matchups.

For bigger swings, St. Brown as a first TD scorer prediction and Smith-Njigba's two-touchdown ticket carry the most upside.

That wraps our best NFL player props today for Week 7, built straight from the live Kalshi board.

Kalshi Promo Code FAQs

What are the best NFL prop bets today on Kalshi?

Our top Week 7 plays include George Kittle to score a touchdown, Brock Bowers to score a touchdown, Bijan Robinson 100+ rushing yards, and Ja'Marr Chase 100+ receiving yards.

What are the best NFL player props today for Week 7?

George Kittle and Brock Bowers carry the highest anytime touchdown probabilities on our board, both priced near 45% on Kalshi.

What is the best first TD scorer prediction for Week 7?

Derrick Henry has the highest first-touchdown price among our picks at 23%, while Amon-Ra St. Brown offers the bigger long-shot return at 16%.

Who is the best anytime TD scorer prediction this week?

George Kittle leads all tight ends in touchdown catches and faces a Falcons defense that has allowed four touchdowns to the position, making him our top anytime pick.

Why is Derrick Henry a strong first TD scorer prediction?

A possible Tyler Huntley start pushes Baltimore toward the run, and Henry handles most of the early goal-line carries for the Ravens.

Why fade Ashton Jeanty's rushing yards?

Jeanty averages 3.2 yards per carry, and rookie Mike Washington keeps cutting into his workload, so we like the No side on 50+ rushing yards.

How do I use the Kalshi promo code?

Create a Kalshi account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the Action Network promo code at sign-up to unlock the current trading bonus.

How do Kalshi player prop contracts work?

Each contract settles Yes or No based on the player's official stats in that game. Winning contracts pay out a full dollar each, and losing contracts pay nothing.

When do the Week 7 Kalshi markets resolve?

Each contract resolves after its game goes final, based on official NFL stats for that matchup.

Author Profile
About the Author

Nick Sterling is the Manager of Commercial News at the Action Network, where he writes and manages Top Stories commercial content focused on sportsbook promotions and major sporting events. His work centers on helping readers find the best betting offers and understand key opportunities across the sports calendar. A graduate of Towson University (Class of 2020), Nick is especially passionate about NASCAR and the NFL. Outside of work, he enjoys running, watching and betting on sports, and spending time with friends and family.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.