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This NFL Week 10 opener is the second meeting of the season between NFC East rivals. The teams played to a 27-27 tie on Oct. 11, and the current Commanders vs. Giants odds show a near coin flip. New York (5-2-1) leads the division after beating Philadelphia 19-11 on Nov. 8. Washington (2-5-1) stayed tied with the Rams late in the third quarter last week.
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bet365 NFL Odds: Commanders vs. Giants Preview & Prediction
bet365 makes the Giants 2.5-point favorites at -109, with the Commanders at +2.5 (-111). The moneyline reads Giants -134 and Commanders +114, and the total sits at 40.5. Those prices imply roughly a 57% chance for New York and 47% for Washington.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +2.5 (-111) | +114 | O 40.5 (-118) |
| Giants | -2.5 (-109) | -134 | U 40.5 (-102) |
Kickoff for Commanders vs. Giants is at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Odds subject to change. Always check bet365 for the most current NFL odds before the game begins.
Commanders vs. Giants Preview
I rate this game closer to a coin flip, and that gap makes the Commanders' price attractive. My Commanders vs. Giants prediction starts with Washington on the moneyline.
The Week 5 meeting backs that view. Washington won the yards-per-play battle 6.3 to 4.9, and Daniels ran for more than 100 yards. New York's defense has allowed the second-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season. Daniels brings that same threat to MetLife tonight. That keeps drives alive and the clock moving for an offense that played the Giants even the first time.
New York sits first in the NFC East at 5-2-1, but the résumé looks softer than the record. The Giants beat Arizona 36-24 on Oct. 4 and added a 27-21 win at Houston on Oct. 25. They also lost to New Orleans 34-27 at home on Oct. 18. J.J. McCarthy carries a hip injury into a short week, and the Giants rank 32nd in opponent red-zone touchdown rate. Washington needs only a few extra trips inside the 20 to flip this game.
Washington's ground game gives it a real path to the upset. The Commanders rank ninth in yards per rush attempt, and the Giants rank 27th in yards allowed per rush. Washington also covered at San Francisco in Week 7 in a six-point loss. Antonio Williams has 26 catches for 284 yards this season.
I'm taking the Commanders moneyline at +114. A $10 bet at that price returns $11.40 in profit and meets the offer's $10 minimum. The Week 5 tie, the rushing mismatch, and a Giants quarterback nursing a hip injury point to a close game. That price pays more than it should if the game comes down to the wire. That's my best Commanders vs. Giants prediction for Thursday night.
Commanders vs. Giants Prediction: Washington Commanders Moneyline (+114)
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