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Baylor's coaching shake-up and UCF's big win set the stage for a marquee matchup at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Both teams are 4-3 and 2-2 in Big 12 play, and bet365 Sportsbook keeps the spread inside a field goal.
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Baylor vs. UCF Preview
Baylor lost 25-24 at Kansas and 17-6 to TCU the game before. The Bears responded by firing Dave Aranda, which made defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman the interim coach.
The Bears won this matchup 30-3 last season, though this version has a new voice calling the shots. Klanderman said offensive coordinator Jake Spavital has freedom to run the offense how he wants, so I'm watching for new looks tonight.
UCF knocked off No. 2 BYU 39-31 last Saturday. Keyone Jenkins threw for 293 yards and three touchdowns, and the Knights are 4-0 at home.
What I keep coming back to is the mood. A new coach can spark a team for a week. Still, DJ Lagway has been solid, not special, and the offense scored six against TCU.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | -1.5 (-110) | -110 | O 47.5 (-115) |
| UCF | +1.5 (-110) | -110 | U 47.5 (-105) |
I recommend you insert any Baylor vs. UCF prediction you want to bet on into an odds calculator or parlay calculator first. Do this to preview your potential winnings and weigh the risk versus reward of your college football predictions.
Baylor vs. UCF Prediction and Pick
In my Baylor vs. UCF prediction, UCF beats Baylor at the Bounce House. Here's what I like and what worries me.
- UCF is 4-0 at home and 0-3 on the road, so the home location matters.
- The Knights are +5 in turnover margin, and they didn't turn it over against BYU.
- UCF is 4-1 when it runs for more than 100 yards, though Baylor has held four opponents under that mark.
- Baylor scored 24 at Kansas and six against TCU, so the offense is a concern.
- Baylor's defense has 13 takeaways, which is my biggest worry for UCF.
I'm backing UCF for the home edge and the better turnover margin. If you like my content and analysis, sign up at bet365 Sportsbook to claim the bonus and start betting.
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