Brewers vs Rays Player Props & Home Run Predictions Today for World Series Game 4

The Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) is perfect to use on World Series Game 4, and this Brewers vs Rays prediction rounds up our best MLB player props today.

• Milwaukee Brewers: lead the World Series 3-0 after a 10-1 rout in Game 3 and can clinch the first title in franchise history with one more win.
• Tampa Bay Rays: face elimination at home at Tropicana Field, with Griffin Jax on the mound and just one run scored over their last 17 innings.

Here is our full table of Brewers vs. Rays player props from the best prediction markets before we break down every pick.

Brewers vs. Rays Player Props – Tuesday, Oct. 27

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Brewers vs. Rays Player Props for World Series Game 4

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make with Kalshi promo code ACTION55, part of our best MLB player props today, ranked from the longshots up to the safest number. For more ways to trade, check out the best prediction market apps and our full MLB coverage.

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With the Brewers up 3-0, all of the pressure sits on the Rays in this Brewers vs Rays prediction, and we lean on Tampa Bay bats in several spots because this is a true last-chance game at home.

Brewers vs. Rays Home Run Prop – Junior Caminero 2+

Caminero has done this before, hitting two home runs and two doubles in a single game on May 31, 2025. With the Rays facing elimination at home, a multi-homer night from their best power bat is the version of the comeback story that keeps the series alive.

It is a long shot, and it should be sized like one. The payout is the reason to take a small swing.

At 2 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 5,000 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $4,834.

• If Caminero hits two or more home runs: the ticket returns $4,834.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of nearly 48.3x, the biggest multiple on our board.

Brewers vs. Rays Home Run Prop – Jackson Chourio 2+

Two home runs in one game is a lottery ticket, even for a 22-year-old leadoff hitter riding a historic World Series. This is a small-stake swing for traders who want a huge multiple on the series-clinching night.

Chourio gets the most plate appearances in the Brewers lineup, and a Rays bullpen that has been shaky all series could give him a second look at a hittable pitch.

At 2 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 5,000 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $4,050.39.

• If Chourio hits two or more home runs: the ticket returns $4,050.39.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of more than 40x, and the thin order book at 2 cents is why the stated return sits below the raw share value.

Brewers vs. Rays Home Run Prop – Yandy Díaz

Yandy Díaz is the Rays' answer at the top of the order, and he hit 22 home runs with 85 RBIs and a .293 average this season. He homered twice in the ALCS, including a two-run shot in the clincher, and he came into the World Series 12-for-39.

Díaz had two hits in Game 3 after two hitless games, and he said the focus is on the one game in front of them. If the Rays are going to survive, the first hitter in the lineup has to set the tone.

At 9 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 1,111 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $1,040.76.

• If Díaz homers: the ticket returns $1,040.76.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of more than 10.4x, the best price among our single home run tickets.

Brewers vs. Rays Home Run Prop – Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers bats second in the Brewers' unchanged lineup, directly behind Chourio and ahead of Christian Yelich and Contreras. That puts him in front of plenty of traffic, and he is a left-handed bat against a right-hander in Jax.

The Rays' bullpen has not been reliable, and Tampa Bay's defense has made mistakes throughout the series. Any extra pitches Bauers sees from tired or mismatched arms raise the odds of one leaving the yard.

At 15 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 667 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $647.40.

• If Bauers homers: the ticket returns $647.40.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of more than 6.4x for the Brewers' second hitter.

Brewers vs. Rays Home Run Prop – Jackson Chourio

Jackson Chourio is 8-for-14 in the World Series with three stolen bases and four runs scored, and he finished a hit shy of a five-hit night in Game 3. As the leadoff hitter, he is guaranteed the most plate appearances in the Milwaukee order.

Rays pitchers have allowed five home runs over their last 10 games, and a Tampa Bay bullpen that has struggled all series gives Chourio extra chances. Milwaukee scored 10 runs in Game 3 without a homer, so power has not been required, but the price still reflects a real threat.

At 17 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 588 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $543.82.

• If Chourio homers: the ticket returns $543.82.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of more than 5.4x, nearly identical to Caminero's home run ticket.

Brewers vs. Rays Home Run Prop – Junior Caminero

Caminero hit 40 home runs for the second straight season, but he did not go deep this postseason until the ALCS clincher. In a win-or-go-home game, he is the Rays hitter most capable of changing the score with one swing.

Tropicana Field plays as a pitcher-friendly park, which is why this price sits at 18 cents rather than higher. Milwaukee also has not named a starter, so Caminero could face several different arms, and that makes this one of our best home run bets today.

At 18 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 556 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $540.05.

• If Caminero homers: the ticket returns $540.05.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of more than 5.4x for the Rays' most dangerous power bat.

Brewers vs. Rays Hits Prop – Brice Turang 2+

Brice Turang hits fifth for Milwaukee and is a left-handed bat facing right-hander Griffin Jax. Jax has been sharp lately with a 1.88 ERA over his last six outings, but Kevin Cash is expected to give him a short leash in an all-hands-on-deck game.

That matters for a two-hit ticket, because Turang is likely to see Tampa Bay relievers in his later at-bats. Turang said the Brewers have to finish the job and keep the pressure on, and a team with a 3-0 lead has little reason to change its approach.

At 23 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 435 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $423.34. The gap from the raw share value reflects normal order book depth and fees.

• If Turang collects two or more hits: the ticket returns $423.34.
• If he finishes with one or none: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of more than 4.2x on a hitter in the middle of an unchanged lineup.

Brewers vs. Rays Hits Prop – Junior Caminero 2+

Junior Caminero is the engine of the Rays lineup, hitting third behind Díaz and Aranda, and he hit 45 home runs in 2025 before topping 40 again in 2026. With Tampa Bay one loss from the offseason, this is the game where the Rays need their best hitter to produce.

He has had a quiet series, and he has not cleared two hits in any World Series game so far. Caminero said the Rays have not played poorly so much as Milwaukee has played exceptionally well, but he went 2-for-3 with a home run in the ALCS clincher, so the bat is capable of a multi-hit night.

At 25 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 400 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $389.76. The gap from the raw share value reflects normal order book depth and fees.

• If Caminero collects two or more hits: the ticket returns $389.76.
• If he finishes with one or none: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of nearly 3.9x for a hitter the Rays are leaning on to save their season.

Brewers vs. Rays Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop – Garrett Mitchell 2+

Garrett Mitchell hits sixth in a Brewers lineup that has stayed exactly the same through three World Series games, right behind William Contreras and Brice Turang. That is a prime run-producing spot, since Mitchell either drives in the table-setters or scores after he reaches.

Milwaukee scored 10 runs in Game 3, including eight in a single inning, without hitting a home run. Two combined hits, runs and RBIs is a realistic bar for a hitter in the heart of that order against a Rays bullpen that has struggled to find success all series.

At 42 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 238 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $233.35. The gap from the raw share value reflects normal order book depth and fees.

• If Mitchell reaches two combined hits, runs and RBIs: the ticket returns $233.35.
• If he finishes with one or zero: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That is a payout of better than 2.3x on a number the Brewers lineup has been clearing all series.

Brewers vs. Rays Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop – Taylor Walls 1+

Taylor Walls is the safest number on our board, and it fits an elimination game. Any hit, run scored or RBI cashes the ticket, and Walls bats ninth, which hands the lineup back to Yandy Díaz and Jonathan Aranda at the top of the order.

The Rays have scored one run over their last 17 innings, so Tampa Bay has to manufacture offense against a Brewers pitching plan that has not been announced and leans toward a bullpen game. With the season on the line, a ninth hitter who reaches base or comes around to score is exactly how rallies get started.

At 52 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, and Kalshi's stated max payout is $189.11. The gap from the raw share value reflects normal order book depth and fees.

• If Walls records a hit, scores a run or drives one in: the ticket returns $189.11.
• If he finishes with a combined total of zero: the $100 stake is a total loss.

It is priced close to a coin flip, but the ticket still returns nearly double your stake.

Brewers vs Rays Game Props: Moneyline, Spread and Total

Before the player prop boards, here is where this MIL vs TB prediction stands on the game lines for Game 4.

Milwaukee is the clear favorite to win outright, but covering the 1.5-run spread is a much tighter proposition. The market also leans slightly toward the under on a 7.5-run total.

That tracks with a Rays lineup that has scored one run in its last 17 innings, even with an elimination game pushing Tampa Bay to play at full intensity.

Brewers vs. Rays Player Props Full – Home Run Bets

Our best home run bets today and home run predictions today cover every player on Kalshi's board, and they are all available once you claim Kalshi promo code ACTION55. Prices are sorted from the deepest longshot up to the safest bet.

• Taylor Walls (Home Runs 1+: Yes 5¢): The ninth hitter has the shortest home run price on the board.
• Jonny DeLuca (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 7¢): The Rays center fielder has been one of their steadier bats this postseason.
• Cooper Pratt (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 7¢): Milwaukee's shortstop hits seventh in the unchanged lineup.
• Yandy Díaz (Home Runs 1+: Yes 9¢): Our longer-shot Rays pick, with two ALCS home runs behind him.
• Jonathan Aranda (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 9¢): Tampa Bay's first baseman leads the Rays with four hits in the series.
• Garrett Mitchell (Home Runs 1+: Yes 9¢): A grand slam against the Reds in September shows the pop is real.
• Brice Turang (Home Runs 1+: Yes 10¢): He hits fifth and carries a modest power price for a middle-order bat.
• William Contreras (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 15¢): The Brewers' cleanup man is slashing .419/.490/.651 this postseason.
• Jake Bauers (Home Runs 1+: Yes 15¢): A left-handed bat hitting second against right-hander Griffin Jax.
• Jackson Chourio (Home Runs 1+: Yes 17¢): Milwaukee's leadoff spark is 8-for-14 in the series with three steals.
• Junior Caminero (Home Runs 1+: Yes 18¢): Tampa Bay's biggest power threat and our top Rays home run ticket.

Brewers vs. Rays Player Props Full – Hits

• Jackson Chourio (Hits 2+: Yes 32¢): The leadoff hitter's two-hit price is the most aggressive on the board.
• Taylor Walls (Hits 1+: Yes 47¢): The ninth hitter has the lowest one-hit price among the regular starters.
• Jonny DeLuca (Hits 1+: Yes 56¢): A bottom-order Rays bat who has been productive in the postseason.
• Jake Bauers (Hits 1+: Yes 58¢): A left-handed bat against a right-hander.
• Garrett Mitchell (Hits 1+: Yes 59¢): A sixth-place hitter in the middle of the Brewers lineup.
• Cooper Pratt (Hits 1+: Yes 59¢): A steady hit candidate hitting seventh.
• Jonathan Aranda (Hits 1+: Yes 62¢): He has the most hits among Rays hitters this series.
• Brice Turang (Hits 1+: Yes 62¢): Our two-hit pick, and a one-hit number that sits near the top of the board.
• Junior Caminero (Hits 1+: Yes 64¢): A single hit would be a start, and the Rays need far more.
• William Contreras (Hits 1+: Yes 65¢): The Brewers' cleanup hitter has been on base constantly this postseason.
• Yandy Díaz (Hits 1+: Yes 68¢): The Rays' leadoff hitter is the most likely player on the board to record a hit.

Brewers vs. Rays Player Props Full – Hits + Runs + RBIs Props

• Garrett Mitchell (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 43¢): Our pick, hitting sixth behind Contreras and Turang.
• Junior Caminero (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 46¢): One big swing would nearly cash this by itself.
• Jake Bauers (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 46¢): Second in the order, he is a regular beneficiary of Chourio's baserunning.
• Brice Turang (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 46¢): He sits fifth in an order that keeps producing traffic.
• Yandy Díaz (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 47¢): Leading off, he sets up his own chances through multiple plate appearances.
• William Contreras (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 50¢): The cleanup hitter drives in runs and scores them when he gets on.
• Taylor Walls (Hits + Runs + RBIs 1+: Yes 52¢): Our pick, with the ninth spot turning the lineup over to Díaz.
• Jackson Chourio (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 54¢): Four hits by the fifth inning of Game 3 show how quickly he can pile this up.
• Jonny DeLuca (Hits + Runs + RBIs 1+: Yes 64¢): Rays hitters at the bottom of the order have provided the few bright spots.
• Cooper Pratt (Hits + Runs + RBIs 1+: Yes 66¢): A low bar for a Brewers lineup that scored 10 runs in Game 3.
• Jonathan Aranda (Hits + Runs + RBIs 1+: Yes 68¢): The Rays' best hitter in the series so far, with four hits.

Brewers vs. Rays Player Props Full – RBI Props

• Jonny DeLuca (RBIs 1+: Yes 25¢): A seventh-place Rays bat who needs traffic in front of him.
• Cooper Pratt (RBIs 1+: Yes 26¢): A seventh-place bat who tends to drive in lower-order runs.
• Jonathan Aranda (RBIs 1+: Yes 27¢): Hitting second, he follows Díaz and can cash in any traffic.
• Yandy Díaz (RBIs 1+: Yes 29¢): A leadoff hitter who relies on the long ball to drive in runs.
• Garrett Mitchell (RBIs 1+: Yes 29¢): A sixth-place bat with run-producing upside.
• Brice Turang (RBIs 1+: Yes 30¢): A fifth-place hitter with Contreras on base ahead of him.
• Jake Bauers (RBIs 1+: Yes 31¢): Hitting second, he often has Chourio in scoring position ahead of him.
• William Contreras (RBIs 1+: Yes 34¢): A cleanup hitter at the heart of the Brewers' run production.
• Junior Caminero (RBIs 1+: Yes 36¢): Batting third, he is the Rays hitter most likely to drive in Díaz.
• Jackson Chourio (RBIs 1+: Yes 36¢): A leadoff hitter with home run power gets his RBI chances on the long ball.

What's Moving the Market for the Brewers vs. Rays Player Props Today

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons. The biggest shift on the board is Milwaukee's moneyline, which climbed six points to 57% while Tampa Bay slid six to 43%, reflecting the 3-0 series lead and the Game 3 rout.

On the player side, Walls' combined hits, runs and RBIs number fell six points to 48% on the board, and Díaz's two-or-more number dropped four points to 47%. That tracks with a Rays offense that has managed only seven hits over its last 17 innings.

Chourio is the Brewers exception, with his two-or-more hits, runs and RBIs number up a point to 56% while his home run price slipped three points to 17%, one of the more notable moves in the home run predictions today.

How to Trade the Brewers vs. Rays Player Props With Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55

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Final Thoughts: Brewers vs. Rays Player Props Today for Game 4

The Brewers sit one win from the first title in franchise history, but the Rays are at home and playing for their season. That elimination-game pressure is why our Brewers vs. Rays player props lean on Walls, Caminero and Díaz, while Mitchell, Turang and Chourio give us Milwaukee exposure at better prices.

Our best home run bets today are Caminero, Chourio and Bauers, with Díaz as the longer shot and the 2+ tickets as small-stake swings. Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started, and keep an eye on lineups and Milwaukee's pitching plan before first pitch in MIL vs TB.

That wraps our full Brewers vs Rays prediction and the best MLB player props today on the Kalshi board.

Brewers vs. Rays Player Props – FAQs

How do I use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 for World Series Game 4? Create a Kalshi account, make a qualifying deposit and enter the code during sign-up to unlock the current new-user trading bonus. Terms and eligibility apply, so check the offer details before you trade.

What are the best Brewers vs. Rays player props for Game 4? Our top plays are Taylor Walls to record 1+ hits, runs and RBIs, Garrett Mitchell for 2+ and Junior Caminero for 2+ hits, with Yandy Díaz and Caminero as the Rays' home run longshots.

What are the best MLB player props today for the Rays? Walls and Caminero lead our Rays player props for an elimination game, with Díaz at the top of the lineup as a longer-shot home run ticket.

What are the best home run bets today for Brewers vs Rays? Caminero at 18 cents, Jackson Chourio at 17 cents and Jake Bauers at 15 cents are our top home run bets today, with Díaz at 9 cents as the longer shot.

What are the top home run predictions today for the Brewers? Chourio and Bauers headline the Milwaukee home run predictions today, since they hit first and second in an unchanged lineup facing right-hander Griffin Jax.

Who is favored in MIL vs TB for World Series Game 4? Kalshi favors Milwaukee in MIL vs TB at about 57% to win outright, with Tampa Bay at 43%. The Brewers lead the series 3-0 and can clinch the title with a win.

Who is starting for the Brewers and Rays in Game 4? The Rays are going with right-hander Griffin Jax. Milwaukee had not announced a starter at the time of writing, and a bullpen game with Dustin May, Kyle Harrison or Shane Drohan is the likely plan.

How do Kalshi player prop contracts work? Each contract resolves Yes if the player reaches the stated threshold in that game and No if he does not. Shares pay out one dollar each if your side wins and nothing if it loses.

When do the MIL vs TB player prop markets settle? Each contract settles once the game is final, based on official MLB data for that matchup.