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Game 4 of the MLB World Series starts at 8 p.m. ET on FOX, and Milwaukee leads 3-0. The latest Brewers vs. Rays odds list the Brewers at -125, and I share my World Series predictions below.
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Brewers vs. Rays Prediction and Preview
Milwaukee sits one win from its first World Series title. Teams up 3-0 in a best-of-seven postseason series have won 42 of 43 times.
The Brewers have won eight straight postseason games, and they won the first two games in this series by one run each.
Game 3 ended 10-1, and Milwaukee scored a World Series record eight two-out runs in one inning.
Jackson Chourio props stand out to me after he went 8-for-14 with three steals, and our MLB home run picks cover more bats.
William Contreras is hitting .538 in the series and has thrown out three runners trying to steal.
Tampa Bay needs a spark. The Rays scored one run over their last 17 innings, and Griffin Jax is on the mound. Milwaukee's starter is TBD, with a bullpen game the likely plan.
Jonathan Aranda has four hits in the series, and Yandy Díaz added an RBI double in Game 3. Both need help from the rest of the lineup.
Brewers vs. Rays Odds for World Series Game 4
These BetMGM World Series odds show Milwaukee as the road favorite, which fits my Brewers vs. Rays prediction below. The total sits at 7 runs, and the Rays pay +105 on the moneyline.
Our home run projection cheat sheet adds more Game 4 angles.
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -1.5 (+140) | -125 | Over 7 (-120) |
| Rays | +1.5 (-170) | +105 | Under 7 (+100) |
My Brewers vs. Rays Prediction
My pick is the Brewers moneyline (-125), the top play among my Brewers vs. Rays best bets. Here is why:
- Milwaukee's bullpen holds a 1.34 ERA across nearly 54 postseason innings, and the top relievers are rested after Monday's blowout.
- Jax finished in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. He also gave up three runs on five hits over four innings in ALCS Game 3.
- Tampa Bay's bullpen allowed five runs on nine hits in about four innings on Monday.
Chourio has at least two hits in every game this series and bats at the top of the order. Our full picks and parlay pair the Brewers with Jackson Chourio over 0.5 hits.
Sean Zerillo's model-based World Series Game 4 best bets are worth a look too.
If you like our content and picks, sign up on BetMGM with BetMGM bonus code TANGET2 to claim the bonus and start betting.
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