My Texas vs. LSU best bets have all the information you need to start trading Texas vs. LSU prediction markets. Use the Novig promo code (ACTION) to register an account in time to trade this game from Baton Rouge.
- Texas (7-2) is No. 6 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings, with wins over Ohio State, Tennessee, Ole Miss, and Missouri and two losses by the same 27-24 score, to Florida and Oklahoma.
- LSU (6-3) is No. 21 in the playoff rankings under first-year coach Lane Kiffin, and it hosts this one on Senior Day after a 31-13 home loss to Alabama.
My Texas vs. LSU best bets are all priced on one of the best prediction markets, starting with these five trades:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Novig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 (Over NO) | No | 52.0% | $192.30 | Trade Now! |
| Under 23.5 (Over NO) (1H) | No | 51.0% | $196.07 | Trade Now! |
| TEX +2.5 (LSU -2.5 NO) (1H) | No | 50.0% | $200.00 | Trade Now! |
| TEX +3.5 (LSU -3.5 NO) | No | 47.0% | $212.76 | Trade Now! |
| TEX ML | Yes | 37.5% | $266.66 | Trade Now! |
Read our Action Network dedicated Novig review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.
Texas vs. LSU Best Bets: Best NCAAF Picks Today on Novig
Every pick below is a real trade placed on Novig at the best available price, and our best prediction market apps guide and NCAAF coverage have more on where to trade college football. These are the best NCAAF picks today we can find on this board.
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Best Total Pick Today: Under 46.5
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Novig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 (Over NO) | No | 52.0% | $192.30 | Trade Now! |
Novig's total is posted at 46.5, and sportsbook CFB odds for this game have ranged from 45.5 to 46.5, so the Under is sitting at the high end of the market.
Buying Under 46.5 at 52.0% gets the most generous version of that number, and it is one of the cleaner CFB best bets today.
The matchup points the same way. Texas is 16th nationally against the run, allowing 2.9 yards per carry, and LSU averaged only 2.3 yards per carry against Alabama and 2.6 in its loss to Kentucky.
When the ground game stalls, drives take longer and the clock keeps moving.
The risk is a shootout. Both of Texas' losses finished 27-24, which is 51 combined points, and Sam Leavitt is completing 71% of his throws for an uptempo LSU offense.
I took Under 46.5 on Novig at 52.0% with a $100 ticket, which buys roughly 192 contracts that each pay $1 if the game finishes with 46 or fewer points.
- If the game stays Under 46.5: Return of $192.30
- If the game goes Over 46.5: Full loss of the $100 stake
That is a return of roughly 1.92x on the stake.
Best 1st Half Total Pick Today: Under 23.5
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Novig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 (Over NO) (1H) | No | 51.0% | $196.07 | Trade Now! |
The first-half total is almost dead even on Novig, with Over 23.5 at 52.0% and Under 23.5 at 51.0%, so the Under does not cost a premium. Half of the 46.5 full-game total is 23.25, which makes 23.5 a slightly high number for a game that should open cautiously.
Texas' run defense forces LSU to win through the air, and the Tigers' offense has looked uneven before it finds a rhythm. Against Alabama, LSU fell behind and had to throw for 380 yards to chase the game.
Two ranked teams playing for playoff positioning on a Saturday night tend to feel each other out before opening up, and this ticket only needs a low-scoring half to cash, which makes it one of the best college football picks today for bettors who like a slow start.
I bought Under 23.5 for the first half at 51.0% with a $100 ticket, which buys roughly 196 contracts that each pay $1 if the teams combine for 23 or fewer first-half points.
- If the first half stays Under 23.5: Return of $196.07
- If the first half goes Over 23.5: Full loss of the $100 stake
That is a return of roughly 1.96x on the stake.
Best 1st Half Spread Pick Today: Texas +2.5
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Novig |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX +2.5 (LSU -2.5 NO) (1H) | No | 50.0% | $200.00 | Trade Now! |
Novig prices Texas +2.5 in the first half at 50.0%, a true coin-flip number, while LSU -2.5 sits at 53.0%. Texas gets one fewer point than the +3.5 it receives on the full-game spread.
Texas has played close games all season. It beat Ohio State 24-23 and lost to Florida and Oklahoma by three points each, so a small halftime cushion fits how the Longhorns play and lines up with my CFB predictions for a one-score game.
Arch Manning also has Cam Coleman as a deep threat to open things up early, while LSU fell behind against Alabama and spent the rest of that game chasing.
I bought Texas +2.5 for the first half at 50.0% with a $100 ticket, which buys 200 contracts that each pay $1 if Texas leads, ties, or trails by two points or fewer at halftime.
- If Texas covers +2.5 in the first half: Return of $200.00
- If LSU leads by three or more at halftime: Full loss of the $100 stake
That is a clean 2x return on the stake.
Best Spread Pick Today: Texas +3.5
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Novig |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX +3.5 (LSU -3.5 NO) | No | 47.0% | $212.76 | Trade Now! |
Both of Texas' losses this season came by exactly three points, so a 3.5-point cushion would have covered each of them. Novig prices Texas +3.5 at 47.0%, with LSU -3.5 sitting around 54%.
The number matters here. The market has ranged from LSU -3.5 to LSU -4.5, and Novig sits at the tighter end of that range of CFB odds, which explains a price below 50%. Texas only loses this ticket if LSU wins by four or more.
Texas also owns wins over Ohio State, Tennessee, Ole Miss, and Missouri, and a playoff-caliber resume is on the line, so it should play this one with urgency.
I bought Texas +3.5 at 47.0% with a $100 ticket, which buys roughly 212 contracts that each pay $1 if Texas wins or loses by three points or fewer.
- If Texas covers +3.5: Return of $212.76
- If LSU wins by four or more: Full loss of the $100 stake
That is a return of roughly 2.13x on the stake.
Best Moneyline Pick Today: Texas to Win
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Novig |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX ML | Yes | 37.5% | $266.66 | Trade Now! |
Novig prices Texas to win outright at 37.5%, which beats the roughly 40% implied by sportsbook moneylines of +150 to +152. A $100 ticket at those sportsbook odds returns about $250 to $252, compared with $266.66 here.
LSU is still the favorite on the same board, priced near 63% to win, and plenty of college football predictions lean toward the Tigers at home. But Texas is No. 6 in the playoff rankings to LSU's No. 21, and the Longhorns' two losses were both by three points.
This is the longest-priced ticket of the five, so treat it as the high-variance swing on the card.
I bought Texas to win at 37.5% with a $100 ticket, which buys roughly 266 contracts that each pay $1 if Texas wins the game.
- If Texas wins: Return of $266.66
- If LSU wins: Full loss of the $100 stake
That is a return of roughly 2.67x on the stake.
What's Moving the Market: CFB Odds for Texas vs. LSU
Prediction markets like Novig give bettors a live look at how the market prices this game, and the board has LSU as the clear moneyline favorite at about 63% to Texas at 37.5%.
Plenty of college football predictions and NCAA predictions land in the same place, with LSU around 54% to cover -3.5.
The ladder also shows how thin the best price can be. Only $112 is available for Texas on the moneyline at 37.5%, with $2,178 waiting one step higher at 38.0%, and the full-game total leans slightly Under at 52.0% against 49.5% for the Over.
Compared with sportsbook CFB odds, Novig's spread is on the tighter side of the 3.5 to 4.5 range, its total of 46.5 is at the high end of 45.5 to 46.5, and its Texas moneyline price is cheaper than +150 to +152.
Check the latest NCAAF Odds before locking anything in, because that gap is what drives my Texas vs. LSU best bets.
How to Trade These Picks on Novig
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading Texas vs. LSU best bets on Novig:
- Read a comprehensive Novig review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Novig to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Novig to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Novig promo code ACTION to get started!
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Final Thoughts on Texas vs. LSU Best Bets
My Texas vs. LSU best bets follow my Texas vs. LSU prediction of a tight, lower-scoring game: the Under in both the full game and the first half, Texas in both spreads, and the Texas moneyline as the higher-variance swing.
Together they are the best NCAAF picks today on Novig for this matchup, and the best college football picks today for anyone who likes a close game.
With playoff positioning at stake for Texas and Senior Day at stake for LSU, this is one of the most watched NCAA predictions of Week 11, and these CFB best bets today are built for a close game.
Check the latest NCAAF odds and injury news before kickoff, since prices on the board can move. For season-long markets, check out the latest NCAAF Futures, and see more NCAAF Prediction Market Promo Codes for other platforms.
Texas vs. LSU Best Bets FAQs
What Is the Texas vs. LSU Prediction?
Our Texas vs. LSU prediction is a tight, lower-scoring game that stays close, which is why the card is built around the Under, Texas on the spread in both halves, and a Texas moneyline swing at a longer price.
What Are the Best NCAAF Picks Today for Texas vs. LSU?
The best NCAAF picks today for this game are Under 46.5 at 52.0%, Under 23.5 in the first half at 51.0%, Texas +2.5 in the first half at 50.0%, Texas +3.5 at 47.0%, and Texas on the moneyline at 37.5%, all priced on Novig.
What Are the Best College Football Picks Today on a Prediction Market?
Prediction markets like Novig let you buy college football outcomes at a posted price, and the best college football picks today are the ones where that price beats the sportsbook range, such as the Texas moneyline at 37.5% against roughly 40% implied by sportsbook odds.
What Are the CFB Best Bets Today for Texas vs. LSU?
The CFB best bets today in this game are the five Novig tickets in our picks section, with Under 46.5 as the highest-probability play and the Texas moneyline as the biggest payout.
What Are the College Football Predictions for Texas vs. LSU?
College football predictions are mixed, with LSU favored at home but Texas getting points in a game that matters for both teams. One national preview projects a 27-24 LSU win, which would cover Texas +3.5 but not the Under or the moneyline.
What Are the CFB Predictions for Texas vs. LSU?
Our CFB predictions center on a one-score game, because both of Texas' losses came by three points and LSU's offense has struggled to run the ball in its losses.
What Are the NCAA Predictions for Texas vs. LSU?
NCAA predictions for this game revolve around College Football Playoff stakes, since Texas is No. 6 in the latest rankings and LSU is No. 21, and a win would help either team's case.
What Are the NCAAF Odds for Texas vs. LSU?
Sportsbook NCAAF odds have mostly listed LSU as a 3.5 to 4.5 point favorite with a total between 45.5 and 46.5, while Novig's board lists LSU -3.5, a total of 46.5, and the Texas moneyline at 37.5%.
How Do I Use the Novig Promo Code for These Picks?
Create a Novig account through the promo code links in this article, complete the qualifying steps listed in the terms, and then trade the picks from the Novig board using the Take option at the best available price.
When and Where Is Texas vs. LSU?
Texas visits LSU on Saturday, November 14, in primetime at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, and the game airs on ABC.
