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Best NFL Week 1 Player Props: Deshaun Watson Over/Under 22.5 Rushing Yards?

Sep 09, 2018 10:23 AM EDT
  • If you're looking to bet player props in Week 1 NFL, you've come to the right place.
  • The props offering value include: Deshaun Watson's running yards, Tarik Cohen's receptions, Case Keenum's passing TDs, Austin Ekeler's rushing yards and Rashad Higgins' receiving yards.

Prop bets can be some of the most exploitable bets on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so it’s not as imperative for the sportsbooks to hang accurate lines.

This is where the FantasyLabs Player Props tool comes in handy.

We take each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverage them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.

Each prop bet then receives a grade, with 10 being the absolute best. Our Props tool killed it in the last NBA season, with props graded a 10 covering at a 66.4% clip against the closing number.

We currently have 31 props with a Bet Quality of 10 for Sunday’s NFL slate.

Here are five props that are offering value today.

All lines are as of 9:30 a.m. ET on Sunday.


Browns WR Rashard Higgins

The pick: Under 16.5 receiving yards (-110 @ 5Dimes)

Higgins is a fringe wide receiving talent. He averaged just 20.8 receiving yards per game last season, despite the fact that he saw plenty of playing time for a receiver corps largely devoid of NFL caliber players.

That won’t be the case this season: The Browns get Josh Gordon back from suspension, traded for Jarvis Landry and spent a third-round pick on Antonio Callaway.

All three of those players will play over Higgins vs. the Steelers on Sunday, and David Njoku and Duke Johnson also figure to be highly involved in the passing game.

That doesn’t leave a lot left for Higgins considering that Tyrod Taylor only averaged 201.3 passing yards per game while in Buffalo.

The weather conditions in Cleveland should also hinder the passing game: The current forecast calls for winds of close to 20 mph and torrential rain.

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Credit:

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Deshaun Watson

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OPEN
CURR
# BETS
-6.5
42.5
-7
44
44.5
-4
45.5
-2.5
44
-3
43.5
+1
47.5
-8.5
46.5
-7.5
46.5
-5
45
-5.5
38
PK
39.5
-2.5
46.5
-3.5
46
-3
44
-9
44
-10
44
-9.5
44.5
-7.5
47
-3
47.5
-3
36
-8.5
36
-7.5
-5.5
44.5
-3.5
44.5
-1
52.5
-3
54
54
-9.5
52
-12.5
-7
54
-6.5
50.5

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