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NFL Sharp Report: Pros Betting Seahawks-Broncos, 3 Other Week 1 Games

Sep 09, 2018 7:25 AM EDT
  • As you prepare to bet on Week 1 of the NFL season, you might want to know which bets sharps are making.
  • Their top picks for the opening week include plays on Jaguars-Giants and Seahawks-Broncos.

Two things Saturdays are for:

  1. Watching college football
  2. Preparing to bet on the NFL on Sunday

Let me know if I missed anything.

Prepping for Sunday bets is a long process — at least for me. I mean, hell, we’re about into the triple digits of Week 1 betting preview posts at this point. But perhaps my favorite way to prepare is by seeking out sharp action.

With that said, here are the plays that professional bettors are making for the NFL’s opening weekend.

Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart-money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary


>> All odds as of Saturday at 11 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

1 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Browns +4.5

After “Hard-Knocks” turned the Browns into the darlings of the league, I was so looking forward to getting a chance to fade them for a change this season. That’s not going to be the case in Week 1, however, as the public is still taking the anti-Browns route against the Steelers.

Despite the only 38% of bettors behind Cleveland, this line has gone from +6 to +4.5 behind sharp action on the Browns. They’ve triggered six steam moves and have drawn 52% of dollars causing the line move.

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Credit:

Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Russell Wilson

Follow Danny Donahue on Twitter
@dannyjdonahue

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
56.5
-3.5
53.5
-3.5
-6.5
42.5
-6
41.5
44.5
-4
45.5
-3
44
-3
43.5
-2.5
47.5
-8.5
46.5
-7.5
46.5
-5
45
-6
38
PK
39
-2.5
46.5
-3.5
46
-2.5
44
-9
44
-9
44
-9.5
44.5
-7
47
-3
47
-3
36
-8.5
36
-7
-5.5
44.5
-4.5
44
-1
52.5
-2
52
54
-9.5
53
-10.5
-7
54
-6
51.5

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