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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys NFL Playoff Odds: Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Popular Underdog Bets in Wild Card Round

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys NFL Playoff Odds: Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Popular Underdog Bets in Wild Card Round article feature image
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Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers shakes hands with head coach Mike McCarthy of the Dallas Cowboys. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)

NFL Playoff Odds: Buccaneers vs. Cowboys

Cowboys Odds -2.5
Buccaneers Odds +2.5
Over/Under 45.5
Date Monday, Jan. 16
Time 6:15 p.m. ET
Channel FOX

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Wednesday. Ready to place your bets? Check out the best FanDuel promo codes here! 

Are Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers the most popular public underdog bet in the history of the NFL playoffs?

Not all time. But it’s close.

The Buccaneers are small underdogs to the Cowboys on Monday. The Bucs are one of two home teams catching points in the NFL Wild Card Round (Jaguars +2 vs. Chargers).

And public bettors are all over Tampa and TB12 to cover in a rematch of the NFL regular-season opener.

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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Betting Data, Playoff Trends

Using our NFL betting data, we’ve logged 63% of the 17,000 and counting  tickets against the spread on the Buccaneers plus the points vs. the Cowboys.

Per Bet Labs, the only other NFL playoff underdog with more volume was  Seattle (73% of public tickets) as a small ‘dog to Philadelphia in the 2020 NFC Wild Card Round.

The Seahawks won that game, 17-9.

Overall, seven NFL postseason underdogs have attracted more than 63% of tickets vs. the spread. Those clubs are 3-4 straight up and 4-3 against the number.

Historically, betting underdogs against the spread in the postseason is a profitable proposition.

Teams catching points in the playoffs are 114-94-4 (54.8%) against the number over the past 20 years, thanks our director of research Evan Abrams.

And when the betting line drops — the Buccaneers are down from +3 to +2.5 — the trend becomes stronger for the ‘dogs: NFL playoff teams in this instance are a blistering-hot 43-18-2 against the spread (71%) over the past 20 years.

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Brady’s been a mainstay in the NFL playoffs, so it’s no surprise public bettors are latching onto that narrative.

However, nearly two-thirds of the betting public is banking on a team that’s burned wallets plenty this season.

Tampa went 4-12-1 against the spread in 2022. The only other team since 1990 to make the playoffs with fewer than five covers was the 1999 Vikings.

Minnesota went 3-10-3 ATS, and lost in the Divisional Round.

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