Freedman’s Favorite Prop Bet (Jan. 13): Will Antonio Gates Have More Than 2 Receptions?

Jan 13, 2019 09:10 AM EST
Credit:

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Antonio Gates

  • Matthew Freedman is kicking off 2019 with a new series featuring his favorite prop bet of each day.
  • On Sunday, he looks at the Chargers-Patriots NFL football game and the receptions prop for Los Angeles tight end Antonio Gates.

I had a great 2018 betting on props, thanks primarily to our FantasyLabs Tools, so for 2019 I am publishing a quick-n’-dirty daily piece in which I highlight one of my favorite props for the day.

A quick note on props: When a line is terribly wrong, I usually don’t even get the chance to write about it, because the line will have corrected by the time most people read the piece.

So the props I’ve written about this year haven’t truly been my favorites or the ones in which I’ve most heavily invested. Rather, they’ve been ones that offer an edge but not one that’s obvious or large enough to be immediately exploited by the market.

That distinction might not matter to some readers, but I want to be transparent about that.

For more information on my research process and the resources I use, see the master list of my 2019 prop bets.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

6-8-1, -1.45 Units

  • Golf: 1-1-0, +0.25 Units
  • NFL: 2-3-0, -0.65 Units
  • NBA: 0-2-0, -2.0 Units
  • NHL: 3-1-1, +1.95 Units
  • NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units

Freedman’s Favorite Prop Bet for Sunday, Jan. 13: Antonio Gates Receptions Over/Under 2.0