The Chargers visit the Patriots for the final NFL Wild Card Round game of Sunday, January 11. Kickoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. The game will broadcast live on NBC.
For our Chargers vs Patriots anytime touchdown picks, we are targeting Stefon Diggs and Keenan Allen.
Continue below for our Chargers vs Patriots anytime touchdown preview for Wild Card Sunday.
Chargers vs Patriots Anytime Touchdown Props
- Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown (+175; DraftKings)
- Keenan Allen Anytime Touchdown (+350; DraftKings)
Chargers vs Patriots Anytime Touchdown Picks
Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown (+175)
By Chris Raybon
I'm going to roll with Stefon Diggs to score against the Chargers at +175.
Diggs may have some unrealized potential across the board, as he's only posted a route participation rate around 70% on the season.
However, we've seen the Patriots give Diggs true WR1 snaps in important games throughout the year — occasionally seeing that number tick up to the 85-90% range, and I think that very well may be the case again here in the playoffs.
The Chargers defense has been good all season, but if you look at their schedule-adjusted numbers, they tend to give up a ton of targets to opposing WR1s. They are very good against opposing WR2s and WR3s; RBs and TE don't seem to give them a ton of issues either. However, WR1s seem to be the Chargers' main weak spot.
The Patriots have kept Diggs bubble-wrapped all season. Not only do I think we'll see them take off the bubble wrap because it's a playoff game, but also likely out of necessity with Mack Hollins hitting IR, and New England's receiving corps being relatively shallow behind Diggs.
Diggs should be busy in this game.
Pick: Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown (+175)
Keenan Allen Anytime Touchdown (+350)
I’ve bet on Keenan Allen quite often during this season — the strategy has yielded mixed results.
The veteran has mostly been a value play — his anytime touchdown odds are routinely around +350.
Against the Patriots, Allen is still flashing value in the TD market. Among the Chargers' main receivers (Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston), Allen paces the group in targets per route run (TPRR) against both man and zone coverages, and he should be a top target for Justin Herbert. Allen also leds the Bolts in first-read rate during the regular season.
Pick: Keenan Allen Anytime Touchdown (+350)
Editor's Note: An anytime touchdown parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These touchdown picks have value as straight bets.
