NFL Bettors Buying Back Value with Baker Mayfield, Browns vs. Raiders

Credit:

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield

Sep 28, 2018, 10:59 AM EDT
  • In early Week 4 betting, the line for Sunday's Cleveland Browns-Oakland Raiders game (4:05 p.m. ET) moved from a pick'em to Raiders -2.5.
  • The line eventually hit Raiders -3, and that's when bettors jumped on the value of Browns +3, dropping the spread back down to 2.5.

Earlier this week, I highlighted how early Week 4 betting action immediately moved the line for Sunday’s Cleveland Browns-Oakland Raiders game from a pick’em to Raiders -2.5.

While 2.5-point NFL line moves are noteworthy, I questioned what would happen if the number eventually hit 3, the most important line in NFL point-spread betting.

On two separate occasions the line touched Browns +3 and both times Cleveland money showed up to knock it back down to +2.5.

In fact, on Thursday night bettors drove the number off 3 down to 2, before the market settled back in at 2.5.

So, what does this mean?

Similar to Sunday’s Seattle Seahawks-Arizona Cardinals game, Browns-Raiders is attracting sharp action on both teams depending upon the price.

At a pick’em, the value is with the Raiders. Conversely, bettors like the Browns at the key number of +3.

Remember, professionals don’t have to agree on every game. Sharps bet numbers (not teams), and this is a fantastic example of how the smartest NFL bettors in the world are playing both sides of the same game based on the price the market is offering.

How would you rate this article?
Follow PJ Walsh on Twitter
@PJWalsh24

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories