Best Cowboys-Rams Divisional Round Prop Bets: Jared Goff Pass Attempts, More
There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Cowboys-Rams matchup on Sunday night, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on FOX.
The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props.
So will the player props tool at FantasyLabs, which takes each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverages them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.
*All odds as of 1 p.m. ET on Saturday.
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott
The pick: Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-115)
Including the Cowboys’ Wild Card game, Dak has thrown for under two passing touchdowns in 11 of his 17 games this season. He also has been much better at home than on the road.
On the road, he’s averaging just 1.0 passing touchdown per game. Even if you split his road games to when the Cowboys got Amari Cooper, he’s averaging just 1.25 passing touchdowns per game.
Additionally, Ezekiel Elliott eats into Dak’s touchdown equity when the Cowboys are in close. Dak has just seven passing touchdowns from inside the 10-yard line, which ranks 24th among quarterbacks.
His touchdown projection inside the FantasyLabs prop tool is presently 1.3, putting the value on the under.
Rams QB Jared Goff
The pick: Under 37.5 pass attempts (-115)
Even though the Rams rank third in pace this season, the Cowboys rank 24th, which has allowed offenses to run the 10th-fewest plays against them this year.
It’s also hard to envision the Cowboys jumping off to a huge lead that would force Goff into a pass-heavy game script. The Rams are presently favored by seven points and in two seasons under Sean McVay, Goff is averaging 33.14 pass attempts per game when the Rams are favored by at least a touchdown.