Lions vs 49ers Odds, Pick: NFC Championship Game Spread
Cyriel Klitsie/Action Network. Pictured: Jared Goff (left) and Brock Purdy.
Lions vs 49ers Odds, Pick: NFC Championship Game Spread
| Lions Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -120 | 51 -110o / -110u | +245 |
| 49ers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 +100 | 51 -110o / -110u | -305 |
Lions vs. 49ers odds for the NFC Championship game on FOX are on the board with the 49ers as 7-point favorites over the Lions at home for next Sunday's conference title game. The over/under opened at 50.5 total points scored between the two teams. On the moneyline, the 49ers are -310 favorites to make the Super Bowl, while the Lions are +250 underdogs to advance.
Our Director of Predictive Analytics, Sean Koerner, reveals his initial projections for the spread and over/under based on his model.
Spread: 49ers -7 | Total: 51.5
Get a breakdown of both teams and one of our expert's Lions vs 49ers pick below.
Detroit Lions
This is Detroit’s first NFC Championship Game since 1991. The Lions are one of four teams to have never appeared in a Super Bowl, and they’re underdogs to break away from that group.
While the Rams almost got the better of the Lions last week (and covered), Detroit entered its win over the Buccaneers 4-1 ATS in its previous five games. Overall, the Lions were 12-6 before their Divisional Round win.
You’ll likely have heard about how much better Jared Goff plays at home, but the Lions were still 7-2 ATS on the road during the regular season. Detroit was also 5-4 to the over on the road, which is what the 49ers’ mark was at home this season, as well.
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San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers survived the Packers in the Divisional Round, but they didn’t make it through the game unscathed. Deebo Samuel left the win with a shoulder injury and didn’t return, and the San Francisco offense didn’t get going until late.
San Francisco is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last four games, although one of those games was a Week 18 game that saw Carson Wentz start opposite Sam Darnold. All three of those ATS losses were at home.
Prior to that stretch of games, San Francisco won six straight games and went 4-2 ATS in the process. In all six of those games, the 49ers scored at least 27 points. They’ve only done so once in their last four.
In terms of the total, the 49ers are 5-2 to the over in their last seven games, with the two unders (you guessed it) coming at home. The total for San Francisco’s win over the Packers was 50.5 and if it wasn’t raining all night in Santa Clara, the combined 45 points scored likely would have been more.
Lions vs. 49ers Picks & Predictions
By Sam Farley
The Niners struggled against the Packers, but I'm more than happy to buy the "dip." When it comes to this matchup against the Lions, I think the 49ers are superior across the board.
As much fun as the Lions are to watch, I simply can't see them keeping the 49ers at bay with a pass-funnel defense. The Lions allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game in the regular season and just let Baker Mayfield throw for 349 yards and three touchdowns.
Meanwhile, the 49ers defense ranked fourth in defensive DVOA in the regular season, nine spots ahead of the Lions. Detroit's playoff resumé isn't that impressive either given Los Angeles and Tampa Bay ranked 22nd and 14th, respectively, in overall defensive DVOA.
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