Promotion Banner

NFL Picks: Expert Makes Week 17 Best Bets on Bears vs Lions, More

NFL Picks: Expert Makes Week 17 Best Bets on Bears vs Lions, More article feature image
Credit:

Quinn Harris/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Fields.

  • Sean Koerner has targeted two games at 1 p.m. ET for Week 17.
  • Koerner has made one pick on the Bears vs Lions total and Jaguars vs Texans spread.
  • Check out Koerner's picks and breakdowns below.

Follow Sean Koerner in the Action App to get all his NFL picks for Week 17.


NFL Picks for Week 17

Click on a pick to skip ahead
 Under 52.5
1 p.m. ET
Texans +3
1 p.m. ET


Bears

vs.

Lions

Pick
 Under 52.5
Best Book
Time
1 p.m. ET

Sean Koerner: Everyone knows these teams can put up points, and Lions home games have averaged more than 60 points per game this season. So, it’s no surprise that 64% of bets and 74% of the money is on the over.

Our expected score metric that helps fuel our Luck Rankings is showing value on the under here, though. It’s likely due to both teams ranking in the bottom five in red-zone touchdown percentage allowed, while the Lions have the third-highest red-zone touchdown percentage this season. Those numbers are likely to regress closer to league average moving forward.

Also, we have Adrian Hill officiating this game. He’s been very friendly to the under in his career, going 38-24 (61%).

I’m projecting this closer to 50.5 and would bet it down to 51.5.

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


» Return to the table of contents «


Pick
Texans +3
Best Book
Time
1 p.m. ET

Sean Koerner: The Texans have been playing well over their last three games, nearly beating the Cowboys and Chiefs before taking down the Titans last week. Houston’s defense is a big reason for these performances, ranking 13th in Football Outsiders’ Weighted DVOA metric.

The Jaguars have nothing to gain with a win since their playoff fate will come down to their Week 18 matchup against the Titans with the AFC South on the line. I wouldn’t be shocked if Jacksonville limits some of its key players to avoid injury here.

I like getting the key number at +3 with the Texans at home.



» Return to the table of contents «


How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.