Giants vs. Eagles Picks: How To Bet the Thursday Night Football Spread & Total
Sarah Stier/Getty Images. Pictured: Darius Slayton, Levine Toilolo
With potential for the NFC East lead on the line — yes, seriously — the Philadelphia Eagles host the New York Giants on Thursday Night Football at 4.5-point favorites.
Where’s the betting value on this Week 7 kickoff?
Our staff details their spread and total picks below.
NFL Picks for Giants vs. Eagles
Raheem Palmer: Eagles -4.5
This is a good buy-low spot on the Eagles despite the absences of Zach Ertz and Miles Sanders.
Sanders is a significant loss for this Eagles team, but I’m not sure Ertz’s absence is worth a downgrade given his decline this season. Ertz is seeing career-lows in targets, receptions per game, yards per reception, yards per game and yards per target and is finding himself slowly being phased out of this offense in a season in which his contract extension talks broke down before Week 1.
That said, I’m not sure the move to from the opening line of Eagles -6.5 down to -4 is warranted.
This Eagles team is banged up, but they also welcome the return of wide receiver DeSean Jackson, offensive tackle Lane Johnson, cornerback Avonte Maddox and linebacker Duke Riley. Meanwhile, receivers Travis Fulham and Greg Ward have combined for 475 yards on 42 catches, showing that they’re reliable options for Carson Wentz and the Eagles.
Overall, this Eagles team exhibited the resiliency to overcome their injuries with an upset win over the 49ers as 9-point road underdogs in Week 4, and the ability to remain competitive against superior teams in the Steelers and Ravens. Now they face a Giants team that ranks 32nd in Football Outsiders’ offensive DVOA, averaging a mere 4.7 yards per play and scoring just 16.8 points per game, which are ranked 30th and 31st in the league.
The Giants are a step down in competition for the Eagles, and I expect them to win this one going away. My projections make the Eagles 6-point favorites, so at -4 or -4.5 (shop real-time lines here), I’ll be making a play on Philadelphia.
Brandon Anderson: Under 45
Giants! Eagles! It’s Thursday Night Football, and the NFC East division lead is on the line!!
Yes, it’s true. These two awful teams really are playing for the division lead on Thursday night. Barring a tie, one of them will leave with a second win and maybe the title of division favorites, at least for a few days.
Thanks, NFC East.
The Eagles opened as 6.5-point favorites, then plummeted to near a field goal when Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz were announced as out with injury. The spread has since settled in the middle in what Bill Simmons always used to call the Vegas Zone, where no one really knows what will happen. I still prefer the Eagles to win, but I’m not loving the line unless it dips back down below 4.
Instead, I’m just fading both teams here by playing the under.
This shapes up to be one of those classically ugly Thursday night games with two terrible offenses on a short week unable to drum up anything much. Wentz is quite literally the only Eagles offensive starter still healthy. Meanwhile, the Giants offense wasn’t good to start with, and that was before losing Saquon Barkley.
The Giants are 4-2 to the under this season, and they’re at or below this 45 total in all but one game, averaging 16.2 points per game otherwise. If either one of these offenses fires blanks, it’s an easy under. And if no one shows up, we’ll be coasting to the finish line.
I’ll play the under to 44.