Dolphins vs. Jets Continues Streak of NFL Overs
Update: The under hit at the highest rate in NFL history over the first 11 weeks of the season. However, it's gone 4-0 to start Week 12 as the Jets and Dolphins combined for 47 points in the first ever Black Friday game. The line was set at 40.5, so it cleared by 6.5 points.
The over hit thanks to one of the most absurd plays you'll ever see. Tim Boyle launched a Hail Mary at the end of the first-half that the Dolphins' Jevon Holland intercepted and returned for a 99-yard pick-six. As a result, unders are now 99-68-1 on the year while standalone games are 32-8.
Those backing the under all season long have had plenty to be thankful for as it’s hit at a historic rate. It’d gone 99-64-1 heading into Thursday, cashing at a 61% clip. Additionally, standalone games had gone 32-8 to the under entering Thanksgiving day.
However, it was bettors backing the over who feasted on Thanksgiving as there was a clean Turkey Day sweep. This is the third time overs went 3-0 on Thanksgiving day since the NFL added the third game in 2006 and the first day with three overs since since 2013, according to Action Network's Evan Abrams.
The day kicked off with the Packers' upset win over the Lions, which was the second-biggest upset on Thanksgiving since 1980. The consensus line was set at 46.5, but the teams combined for 51 points, eclipsing it by 4.5-point margin. It only hit thanks to a meaningless Jared Goff touchdown pass to Josh Reynolds with 41 seconds remaining.
Meanwhile, the over cashed in exciting fashion in the second game between the Commanders and Cowboys. Sam Howell dropped back with the game well out of reach and threw a pick-6 to DaRon Bland with 4:39 remaining. It was Bland’s fifth of the season, setting the record for most by a player in a single season. Washington and Dallas ended up combining for 55 points (45 from the Cowboys), eclipsing the line of 47.5 by 7.5-points.
The biggest shock, however, came in the night game between the 49ers and Seahawks.Primetime unders were 27-8 prior to kickoff, cashing at a ridiculous 77% according to BetMGM. Additionally, the under had hit in seven of the last eight Thanksgiving night games, and was 11-5 dating back to 2005.
However, the over hit with 7:51 remaining on a 28-yard touchdown strike from Brock Purdy to Brandon Aiyuk that secured the win – and cover – for the 49ers. The two teams ended up combing for 44 points, going over a line of 43 on Jake Moody's extra point.