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Raiders-Chiefs Betting Preview: Will K.C. Continue to Let Bettors Down?

Dec 30, 2018 8:35 AM EST
Credit:

Kyle Terada, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Travis Kelce

Betting odds: Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Spread: Chiefs -13.5
  • Over/Under: 52.5
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Thursday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: Some square books have the Chiefs as 14-point favorites, but the majority of the market has the Chiefs at -13.5. They’re commanding about 60% of the bets and not much sharp activity has come in on either side.

The over/under has seen some, though: After opening at 54 at most books, it’s down to 52.5, as steam hit the under at 53.5.

The under is also kind of a trendy pick among the public, getting close to 60% of the bets (see live betting data here). — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Chiefs lost to the Seahawks in Week 16. Since 2003, good teams like Kansas City (won 70%+ of their games) have gone 64-44 against the spread after a loss in December or later in the season, according to our Bet Labs data.

If they face a bad opponent (won 30% or less of their games), like the Raiders, these teams have gone 13-5 ATS. — John Ewing

Did you know? It might be time to state the obvious: The Chiefs haven’t covered a game since Week 9, when they defeated the Browns 37-21 on the road.

KC isn’t the only team that hasn’t covered the spread during this span. Did I mention Kansas City started the season 7-0 ATS? — Evan Abrams

Playoff picture: If the Chiefs beat Oakland, they’ll secure the AFC’s No. 1 overall seed. That’s not the only way they can land home-field throughout the playoffs, but it is the simplest (and most likely).

The Raiders winning would represent one of the biggest upsets of the season — and it’d be a boon for the Chargers, who can jump from the 5-seed to the 1-seed if they beat the Broncos and the Chiefs lose. Scott T. Miller