Kansas City's secondary got absolutely torched in Brazil. Justin Herbert constantly had open receivers; it felt like Ladd McConkey or Keenan Allen had found a soft spot in the secondary and was open any time he wanted one of them. Any Chiefs-Eagles game is going to come down to how Jalen Hurts handles Steve Spagnuolo's blitz, and his answer in this matchup has consistently been DeVonta Smith. Smith is Philadelphia's zone beater, the guy that finds all that open space right where the blitz came from. A.J. Brown is Philly's man-to-man dominator, but he had only one target in Week 1 and really struggled to create separation, so I'm not convinced the hamstring is healthy. Besides, Brown hasn't been great against the Chiefs with Philadelphia anyway: 10 catches for 147 yards in three games, and Smith has had more yards in all three games. Smith has 6/99 and 7/122 in two regular season matchups and 7/100 and 4/69 in the two Super Bowls. That's an average of six catches for 95 yards, with at least 99 yards in all but the one game when the Eagles were ahead by so much they barely passed all game. Smith was invisible in the opener, but this line of 54.5 (BetRivers) is way off considering the way Smith has dominated this matchup. I'm taking the escalator alllll the way up Start with the traditional over, then play 80+ yards at +300 and 100 yards at +600 (both bet365), a bet he's come within a yard of cashing in three of four games. And of course we'll sprinkle 120 yards at +1100 (ESPN Bet) and 140+ at +1900 (DraftKings) just in case.

Kansas City's secondary got absolutely torched in Brazil. Justin Herbert constantly had open receivers; it felt like Ladd McConkey or Keenan Allen had found a soft spot in the secondary and was open any time he wanted one of them. Any Chiefs-Eagles game is going to come down to how Jalen Hurts handles Steve Spagnuolo's blitz, and his answer in this matchup has consistently been DeVonta Smith. Smith is Philadelphia's zone beater, the guy that finds all that open space right where the blitz came from. A.J. Brown is Philly's man-to-man dominator, but he had only one target in Week 1 and really struggled to create separation, so I'm not convinced the hamstring is healthy. Besides, Brown hasn't been great against the Chiefs with Philadelphia anyway: 10 catches for 147 yards in three games, and Smith has had more yards in all three games. Smith has 6/99 and 7/122 in two regular season matchups and 7/100 and 4/69 in the two Super Bowls. That's an average of six catches for 95 yards, with at least 99 yards in all but the one game when the Eagles were ahead by so much they barely passed all game. Smith was invisible in the opener, but this line of 54.5 (BetRivers) is way off considering the way Smith has dominated this matchup. I'm taking the escalator alllll the way up Start with the traditional over, then play 80+ yards at +300 and 100 yards at +600 (both bet365), a bet he's come within a yard of cashing in three of four games. And of course we'll sprinkle 120 yards at +1100 (ESPN Bet) and 140+ at +1900 (DraftKings) just in case.

Kansas City's secondary got absolutely torched in Brazil. Justin Herbert constantly had open receivers; it felt like Ladd McConkey or Keenan Allen had found a soft spot in the secondary and was open any time he wanted one of them. Any Chiefs-Eagles game is going to come down to how Jalen Hurts handles Steve Spagnuolo's blitz, and his answer in this matchup has consistently been DeVonta Smith. Smith is Philadelphia's zone beater, the guy that finds all that open space right where the blitz came from. A.J. Brown is Philly's man-to-man dominator, but he had only one target in Week 1 and really struggled to create separation, so I'm not convinced the hamstring is healthy. Besides, Brown hasn't been great against the Chiefs with Philadelphia anyway: 10 catches for 147 yards in three games, and Smith has had more yards in all three games. Smith has 6/99 and 7/122 in two regular season matchups and 7/100 and 4/69 in the two Super Bowls. That's an average of six catches for 95 yards, with at least 99 yards in all but the one game when the Eagles were ahead by so much they barely passed all game. Smith was invisible in the opener, but this line of 54.5 (BetRivers) is way off considering the way Smith has dominated this matchup. I'm taking the escalator alllll the way up Start with the traditional over, then play 80+ yards at +300 and 100 yards at +600 (both bet365), a bet he's come within a yard of cashing in three of four games. And of course we'll sprinkle 120 yards at +1100 (ESPN Bet) and 140+ at +1900 (DraftKings) just in case.