Ravens vs 49ers Best Bets: 4 Picks & Props for Monday Night Football Christmas
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Ravens vs 49ers Best Bets: 4 Picks & Props for Monday Night Football
The NFL Week 16 slate concludes with an absolute banger, and we have Ravens vs 49ers best bets, picks and props for Monday Night Football, Christmas edition.
Monday Night Football odds have the Ravens installed as 6.5-point underdogs on the spread with a game total over/under of 47.5. Our staff of NFL betting analysts lead the Ravens bandwagon with two spread picks and a moneyline pick on Baltimore. We also have one player prop for Brandon Aiyuk to go over his receptions line.
Check out our Ravens vs 49ers best bets for Monday Night Football below.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
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Ravens vs 49ers Odds
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | +235 |
| 49ers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | -290 |
Ravens vs. 49ers
By Stuckey
I have the 49ers power rated as the best team in the league. They have an unbelievably dynamic offense that no defense will shut down, but the Ravens can get a few stops and keep up on offense.
Ultimately, I just don't see the gap between Baltimore and San Francisco being as wide as some respected oddsmakers. Therefore, I happily took the 5.5 points (now up to +6.5 at some sportsbooks!) with this battle-tested bunch that boasts the superior defense and special teams.
I think this goes right down to the wire and lives up to the hype.
Trending: The Ravens have gone 6-1 this season on the road, where they have allowed the fewest points (14.4) and yards (270.3) in the league.
Ravens vs. 49ers
By Simon Hunter
There is no other way I’d rather end Christmas Day than with a bet on Lamar Jackson as an underdog.
A little secret about me: If it’s not the playoffs and Jackson is getting points, I’m betting him. The Ravens are 19-5 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog since 2018, making them the the second-most profitable team ATS in the NFL in that span behind the Steelers. Lamar Jackson is 8-5 straight-up and 11-2 ATS as an underdog.
So, we have the trends. Now, to the match up on the field.
The Ravens are the most complete team the 49ers will face this season. Not only does their defense match up well to this 49ers offense, but Baltimore's offense is just as high-powered. Unlike San Francisco, which hasn't been tested in months, the Ravens are used to fighting in close games and having to grind out wins. That’s what this game is going to be: two of the best teams in the NFL playing in what will feel like a playoff game.
Both teams know winning will just about lock up them getting the No. 1 seed in their respected conference. My hope is the public comes in heavy on the 49ers with all of its Christmas teasers and moneyline parlays. This number could go even higher than +6.
I’ve been waiting the entire season for a nice spot to play the Ravens, and seeing them installed as a sizable road underdog is a Christmas gift.
Over the past 10 seasons, John Harbaugh is 26-11-2 (70.3%) against the spread (ATS) as a road 'dog. That’s the best mark in the NFL. Of those 39 games, he’s won outright 15 times. In layman’s terms, his teams are always a tough out as road 'dogs. As an added bonus, the Ravens are also a Super Bowl threat this time around with every motivation to win with the No. 1 seed in the AFC within their grasp.
These are the top two teams in the NFL from a DVOA perspective. Both the Ravens and 49ers rank in the top four in both offensive and defensive DVOA, but the 49ers are in the bottom third of the league in special teams, while the Ravens remain elite thanks to Justin Tucker. That element could play a big role in a close game.
I’m calling my shot here and predicting that Brock Purdy will turn back into a pumpkin — at least for one night. The betting favorite to win the NFL MVP struggled mightily against two elite defenses in back-to-back games back in October. Against Cleveland and Minnesota, he completed just 58% of his passes for 199 yards and was picked off three times.
During his ascension to MVP favorite, Purdy has played the Bucs (18th DVOA), Seahawks twice (24th), Eagles (23rd) and Cardinals (32nd). Now, here comes a fantastic Ravens defense that just dominated the Jags and Trevor Lawrence on the road.
Game flow has given Purdy plenty of leads to play with and he’s taken full advantage. Playing with a lead his numbers are phenomenal (71% completion percentage, 10.5 yards per attempt, 18:1 TD-INT), but when you force him to play from behind, he’s as mortal as an average starter (64.5%, 5:5 TD-INT). For a frame of reference, Lamar Jackson’s numbers when playing from behind are better across the board (68.4%, 6:1 TD-INT).
I foresee the pressure getting to Purdy and the Ravens scoring a critical victory in Santa Clara. I would play this down to Baltimore ML +150.
Pick: Ravens ML (+260)
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By Matt Trebby
Sean Koerner has Aiyuk projected for 4.9 receptions, so that’s enough reason to like this prop at a plus number. There are a couple of trends, though, that make me like this even more.
Aiyuk has at least five receptions in four of the five home games he’s played this season. The one he didn’t get there was the 42-10 blowout win over the Cowboys back in Week 5, when he had four on seven targets.
Also, when the Niners play high-quality opposition, Aiyuk tends to go over this number (unless they blow the team out as they did against the Cowboys and Jaguars. Aiyuk has gone over this number against the Eagles, Buccaneers, Vikings, Seahawks, Bengals and Steelers this season, all teams that are competing for a playoff spot.
If you think this is going to be a close game, there’s no reason not to get this over. I’d play it to -120.
Pick: Brandon Aiyuk Over 4.5 Receptions (+105)
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