The Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills take center stage for NFL Sunday Night Football on Sept, 7. Raven vs Bills will kick off at 8:20 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y.; the game will be broadcast on NBC and Peacock.
The Ravens are 1.5-point favorites against the Bills (Ravens -1.5) with the over/under set at 50.5. The Ravens are -120 moneyline favorites; the Bills are +100 underdogs.
Let's get to our Ravens vs Bills predictions for Sunday Night Football, which include the spread, over/under and anytime touchdown scorers.
Ravens vs Bills Predictions
- Ravens vs Bills against the spread: Ravens -1.5 (-110)
- Ravens vs Bills over/under: Under 50.5 (-105)
- Ravens vs Bills Anytime Touchdown: Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190)
Ravens vs Bills Odds
NFL odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Ravens -1 (-115), Bills + (-105)
- Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-105)
- Moneyline: Ravens -120, Bills +100
Ravens vs Bills Spread Prediction
The Ravens are now favorites in Buffalo on Sunday night, and I am in agreement with the line movement.
The Bills emptied their entire playbook defensively by stacking the box and blitzing Lamar Jackson in their playoff matchup a season ago. While it definitely caused issues for the Ravens offense, they were one Mark Andrews dropped pass away from a different result.
Baltimore absolutely gashed the Bills' vulnerable defense in the regular-season meeting in 2024 so I expect head coach Sean McDermott to load the box on 80% of standard downs like he did in their second meeting to limit Derrick Henry.
The problem for the Bills’ defense is their lack of coverage at the second level and in their secondary. Only Christian Benford graded out with a respectable coverage grade a season ago. Buffalo hit Baltimore with its absolute best shot back in January, yet was still outgained 416-273.
The Ravens’ defense is far superior to the Bills’ defense and is the unit to back in this game.
Even in a loss versus Buffalo in the playoffs, they limited the Bills offense to just 4.6 yards per play and 5.5 yards per pass. Josh Allen rushed for a grand total of 31 yards in two meetings with this dominant front seven a year ago.
Baltimore will avenge that loss and get a huge road win to begin its quest for the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
Pick: Ravens -1.5 (-110)
Ravens vs Bills Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
The Ravens and Bills have met six times (including the playoffs) since 2018, when NFL MVP quarterbacks Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson were drafted.
Just one of those games went for more than 50 points (with another landing on exactly 50) despite the general feeling that these teams produce fireworks.
Both teams have solid defenses this season but relatively limited wide receiver rooms. While Allen and Jackson can certainly do it on their own, the odds of that happening go down given the difficult matchup(s) on both sides.
Baltimore’s biggest edge is on the ground, where it can force feed Derrick Henry 20+ carries. That approach slows the game down and reduces the number of drives on both sides. We saw this last season, when Baltimore ranked 31st in both overall and neutral score (+/- 7) pace of play.
This one has the potential to go really wrong if it’s wrong, but the likeliest scenario is a relatively measured approach from both teams, with some bigger chances taken late in the game.
Ideally, we’ll be far enough under the total by that point so any potential late heroics don’t matter.
Pick: Under 50.5 (-105)
Ravens vs Bills Anytime Touchdown Prop
Isaiah Likely suffered a broken bone in his foot in camp and has been ruled out for Sunday Night Football.
This opens the door for Mark Andrews to consolidate the TE targets in what is likely to be a high-scoring affair.
It doesn't hurt that he should have some revenge on his mind after the brutal drop on the final play of the matchup between these teams in the playoffs last year.
Pick: Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190)
