Rondale Moore Player Props: Expert Picks for 49ers vs Cardinals
Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images. Pictured: Rondale Moore.
Rondale Moore Receptions & 49ers ML
|Prop||6+ Receptions & 49ers ML (+105)|
|Matchup||49ers vs. Cardinals|
|Day, Time||Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET|
|Best Book||Caesars Sportsbook|
Backup Colt McCoy gets the start for Arizona as Kyler Murray is sidelined once again. The spread currently has the 49ers as double-digit favorites (+10), so I thought of a correlated two-leg that fits the narrative.
We start with Rondale Moore.
Labeled the team's "gadget," the second-year wide receiver out of Purdue has run a route on 95% of dropbacks over the last three weeks and has hauled in an average of 8.0 receptions on 10.1 targets. His low 5.26 average depth of target means he gets a lot of high percentage looks.
Moore is running routes 56.6% of the time in the slot, splitting with teammate Zach Ertz. The Cardinals' starting tight end, however, suffered a season-ending injury in Week 10, which means Moore could see more routes in the formation.
The 49ers allow the fifth most fantasy points to slot receivers and have the fourth-best DVOA against the run. I expect McCoy to throw often playing from behind and for him to pepper Moore with targets, similar to the 13 he got a week ago.
I am confidently backing the 49ers here. There is a significant mismatch between the 49ers' defensive line and the Cardinals' offensive line.
McCoy will lack protection against Nick Bosa and co. with LG Will Hernandez, LT D.J. Humphries, and C Rodney Hudson all inactive. According to Spotrac, the 49ers are one of the healthiest teams in the league entering this game (8th).
Ultimately, I trust Jimmy Garoppolo and his weapons to soar quickly, resulting in a trailing game script for the Cardinals. Rondale Moore has been targeted like crazy of late, making me love the pairing of a reception total lower than what is listed and at plus odds!
Note: Over 5.5 receptions is available at FanDuel (-130).