Seahawks vs Giants Odds, Pick Prediction | Buy Low on New York
Getty Images. Pictured: Geno Smith (left) and Daniel Jones.
Seahawks vs Giants Odds for Monday Night Football (Week 4)
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 46 -110o / -110u | -140 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 46 -110o / -110u | +120 |
Seahawks vs. Giants odds are moving on Monday, with Seattle going from a 1.5-point favorite to 2.5 points as of 5 p.m. ET.
Seattle will make the long trip across the country to face the Giants, who will look to avoid a 1-3 start that could bury them for good in a division that saw every other team enter Week 4 above .500. Meanwhile, Seattle is trying to stay within striking distance of the red-hot 49ers.
Let's preview Monday Night Football and make our Seahawks vs. Giants pick.
The Giants offense has looked very poor to start the season in large part due to major issues on the offensive line. Rookie center John Michael Schmitz has looked like a rookie, ranking 32nd out of 34 qualified centers, per Pro Football Focus. It also hasn't helped that New York has dealt with a key injury with left tackle Andrew Thomas, who is its best offensive lineman by a wide margin. Thomas is especially important when right tackle Evan Neal has not progressed at all in his second season, ranking 66th out of 67 tackles.
With that said, the offensive line was also a major issue last year. Yet, the Giants still finished the season with a decent overall offense. The numbers are definitely a bit deflated after facing the Cowboys and 49ers — two teams that can really make an opposing offense with issues up front look silly.
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On the other side of the ball, the Giants are getting pressure at the sixth-highest rate in the league. However, a lot of that pressure can be attributed to Wink Martindale's blitz-heavy scheme. Not surprisingly, the Giants lead the league in blitz percentage at 39.7% with more than a 5% gap between them and the next-highest team (the Cardinals).
Outside of the outstanding defensive line duo of Leonard Williams and Dexter Lawrence, nobody on the defense has graded out well. The rookie cornerbacks New York is relying on look like they still need time to find their footing, as is usually the case with rookie defensive backs.
Even with injuries up front, Seattle's offense has looked great to start the season, ranking fourth in DVOA with top-10 marks in both passing and rushing offense. However, the Seahawks have faced three below-average defenses (and not at full strength) in the Panthers, Rams and Lions with two of the three coming at home in front of one of the best crowds in the NFL. I still have my doubts about Geno Smith's ability to repeat the success we have seen early on in each of the past two seasons.
The Seahawks' story hasn't been as rosy on defense, which we saw regress in a major way in the second half of 2022. Through three games, Seattle's stop unit ranks 27th in EPA per play and 26th in Success Rate. The Seahawks have especially struggled against the pass with the second-worst dropback success rate allowed — ahead of only the Denver Broncos.
Seahawks vs. Giants
Betting Picks & Predictions
I think this is a great spot to buy low on the Giants in a desperation spot at 1-2 on the season in an almost must-win game with the Dolphins and Bills looming on deck. New York's two losses have come against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Cowboys (at full strength) and 49ers. This seems like the potential bottom of the market on the Giants.
Meanwhile, I also don't mind selling high on the 2-1 Seahawks, who I was lower than the market on coming into the season. Keep in mind this was a team that really stumbled down the stretch, finishing 3-5 over their final eight games with those three wins coming against the Rams (twice by one possession each with backup quarterbacks) and the lowly Jets.
I will admit Seattle has looked a bit better to start the year than I had expected, but its wins came against a winless Panthers team (with another backup quarterback) that had defensive injuries and an offensive line that committed eight false starts and in overtime against the Lions, who also had defensive injuries and gifted the Seahawks with a touchdown on a pick-six.
I'm still lower than the market on Seattle, so it's no surprise to me I show value on the Giants here.
Additionally, I get a staff I value highly with extra time to prepare, having last played on Thursday night. Even without potentially both Thomas and Saquon Barkley, I trust Brian Daboll and Mike Kafka to have a very solid offensive game plan for Daniel Jones to attack this vulnerable Seattle secondary through the air by moving him around and outside the pocket to alleviate some of the major offensive line issues, which can really hamper this side of the ball for the G-Men at times.
It does help to face a Seahawk defense that doesn't really generate a ton of pressure, ranking below the league average in pressure rate on the season. And while Pete Carroll's group will see the return of safety Jamal Adams, it's dealing with several injuries at cornerback. The Giants should be able to have success spreading Seattle out and utilizing Jones' legs when necessary.
On the other side of the ball, New York should be able to get pressure on Geno Smith the blitz, which he has struggled with in his career. I expect Smith to make a key mistake or two under pressure that ultimately swings this game in the way of the desperate home team.
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