Super Bowl 54 Odds Tracker: Bookmakers React to Saints, 49ers Week 10 Losses

Nov 13, 2019 11:35 PM EST
Credit:

Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Drew Brees

  • The Saints and 49ers both suffered losses in Week 10, but oddsmakers didn't react the same way in each case.
  • With respective wins over the Bengals and Cowboys, both the Ravens and Vikings saw their Super Bowl chances increase.

Both of the NFC’s top two Super Bowl contenders took losses in Week 10, but while neither the 49ers nor Saints could take a firm grasp on the conference, the way that the futures market reacted to those losses was a bit surprising.

Entering the past week, New Orleans was beating out San Francisco by a relatively distant margin — +450 to +700. Perhaps due to the severity of each team’s Week 10 loss — a 26-9 as a two-touchdown favorite vs. a 27-24 overtime thriller — it’s now the Niners at +550 to the Saints’ +600.

On the AFC side, Lamar Jackson’s highlight reel of a season has pushed the Ravens’ Super Bowl chances up once again. At +700, they’re now the second most likely AFC team to win it all behind New England.

And a bit further down the list, Minnesota’s win in Dallas brought the Vikings right back up to +1600 after their loss last weekend had sent them all the way back to +2800.


Odds as of Nov. 12 at 1 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


Click on the date to sort. [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

Super Bowl 54 Odds Tracker

Preseason Notes

  • The Colts’ chances of winning the Super Bowl were decimated following the Andrew Luck retirement news. They had initially been a trendy choice, moving from +2000 to +1000, but have since dropped back to +8000.
  • The Rams’ implied odds have dropped the second most in the league since they opened at +600 back in January. Now at +1400, their chances have fallen from 14.3% to 6.7% in the eyes of the oddsmakers.
  • The Jaguars made a big jump from +6000 to +2500 thanks to Luck’s retirement. Along with the Raiders (+8000 to +4000), they are one of the biggest movers among longshots.

Super Bowl Betting History

In this century, there have been just three teams with longer than 22-1 preseason odds: the 2001 Patriots (+6000), the 2007 Giants (+3000) and the 2017 Eagles (+4000). Five of the past six winners have entered the season with shorter than 10-1 odds.

Historical odds via sportsoddshistory.com

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