Tom Brady to Return to Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Super Bowl, NFL MVP Betting Odds Amid GOAT’s Impending Return

Tom Brady to Return to Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Super Bowl, NFL MVP Betting Odds Amid GOAT’s Impending Return article feature image

Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Tom Brady.

  • Tom Brady has finally returned to his team after a prolonged absence.
  • His absence yielded a string of conspiracy theories that were as unhinged as you might have expected.
  • Where was the greatest quarterback of all-time? And how have the Super Bowl and NFL MVP markets moved as a result?

Bettors with any sort of stake in Tom Brady and the Buccaneers this season might officially be able to exhale.

The quarterback has been away from the franchise for more than a week but has finally returned to the team this Monday. His absence has fueled rampant speculation about what spurred the sabbatical, including a particularly unhinged conspiracy theory regarding his obligations to be on the FOX show Masked Singer.

The markets didn't move all too much as a result of his absence — his presence was already priced in. Oddsmakers were confident that the greatest quarterback of all-time wasn't having second thoughts about retiring.

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Buccaneers Super Bowl, Tom Brady MVP Odds

Tampa's odds didn't move at all across the market amid Brady's return, although the news definitely placated plenty of Bucs fans.

Only the Bills have better odds to win the Super Bowl than the Bucs at the time of writing.

Tampa Bay is essentially painted at +750, with a lone +800 out there (you can shop and view all Super Bowl and futures odds here)

Brady has been named MVP three times, most recently in 2017. His +850 consensus odds are third in this year's market, behind Patrick Mahomes (+847) and Josh Allen at +700 odds.

TB12's been nearly automatic for regular-season win total “Over” bettors. He owns a 16-2-2 O/U clip lifetime and hasn't gone under since the 2009 season.

Tampa's 2022 win total of 11.5 is tied for the highest in the league, alongside the Bills and Packers.

PointsBet notably took down their “no” for Bucs to make the playoffs, after moving it from +450 to +300.

If, for any reason at all, Brady is to miss time, get ready to make a big adjustment: Sean Koerner, Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics, tabs Brady worth seven full points to the betting spread, behind only Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers (both 7.5) ahead of the season.

Tampa Bay is -1.5 for Week 1 at Dallas. The total, meanwhile, has dipped as low as 50 after opening 51.5.

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