Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will Vikings or Seahawks Players Win Your Fantasy Football Matchup?


Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dalvin Cook, Stefon Diggs

Dec 02, 2019, 02:20 PM EST
  • Need a Monday Night Football miracle from Russell Wilson, Dalvin Cook or others to get you into your league's fantasy football playoffs?
  • Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Vikings and Seahawks players scoring enough points to win your Week 13 matchups.

Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy football matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.

So what’re your chances of a Monday night miracle win?

I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 30 points from Dalvin Cook? He has a 8.3% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.

Here are the players I’ll touch on:

  • Seahawks: Russell Wilson, Chris Carson, Rashaad Penny, Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf, Josh Gordon, Jacob Hollister
  • Vikings: Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook, Stefon Diggs, Olabisi Johnson, Kyle Rudolph, Irv Smith Jr.

Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)

Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks

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