Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 21, 2024
Lightning at Maple Leafs
11:30 pm • NHL NetworkLightning at Maple Leafs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning 35-14-4 | +1.5 | +1.5-218 | o6.5-110 | +120 |
Maple Leafs 25-21-9 | u6.5 | -1.5+180 | u6.5-111 | -142 |

Scotiabank ArenaToronto
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Expert Picks
Zense
Last 30d: 15-6-0 (+6.5u)
TOR -142
0.7u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 143-140-1 (-6.8u)
O.Ekman-Larsson o0.5 Pts+125
0.6u
3.03% ev and projection leans to the over
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 76-95-1 (+10.4u)
W.Nylander o3.5 SOG+104
0.52u
FanDuel 5:40.
Picks Office
Last 30d: 199-149-1 (+33.1u)
Under 6.5-105
1u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Tampa Bay and Toronto both lean towards the under with strong defense and struggling power plays. Toronto's solid goaltending and penalty kill, combined with Tampa's focus on tightening up after defensive lapses, make under goals a good play here.
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 76-95-1 (+10.4u)
W.Nylander Anytime Goal Scorer Yes+165
0.83u
SIA
TOR -130
0.77u
Bet365
B.Hagel Anytime Goal Scorer Yes+230
0.25u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 143-140-1 (-6.8u)
N.Kucherov o3.5 SOG-118
1.02u
4.24% ev
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 110-107-2 (-12.7u)
TOR -130
0.77u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 85-93-3 (-15.1u)
Over 6.5-110
1u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 6.5-110
1u
Sandy
TOR -140
1u
Sura
Under 6.5-110
1.1u
Johnny
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 143-140-1 (-6.8u)
N.Kucherov Anytime Goal Scorer Yes+130
0.6u
3.13% ev
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Maple Leafs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Maple Leafs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Maple Leafs are 10-14 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Maple Leafs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Maple Leafs' 31 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22-33 | 12-19 | 10-14 | 6-21 | 15-9 | |
| 26-27 | 9-15 | 17-11 | 17-27 | 9-0 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32-23 | 18-13 | 14-10 | 18-9 | 12-12 | |
| 26-27 | 11-13 | 14-14 | 23-21 | 3-6 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-21 | N/A | N/A | 13-14 | 10-14 | |
| 35-14 | N/A | N/A | 28-16 | 7-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injury Updates

Lightning Injuries
- Brayden PointF
Point is out with lower body
Out
- Anthony CirelliF
Cirelli is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
- Charle-Edouard D'AstousD
D'Astous is out with lower body
Out
- Emil LillebergD
Lilleberg is out with undisclosed
Out

Maple Leafs Injuries
- Christopher TanevD
Tanev is out with groin
Out
- Morgan RiellyD
Rielly is day-to-day with upper body
Day-to-Day
- Dakota JoshuaF
Joshua is out with kidney
Out
Team Stats
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds Comparison
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Lightning at Maple Leafs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Lightning 35-14-4 | N/A | N/A |
Maple Leafs 25-21-9 | N/A | N/A |

