The Calgary Flames (4-11-2) and St. Louis Blues (5-8-3) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 8:00 p.m. EST at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Mo. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Blues are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (-125o / +105u). The Blues are a -150 favorite to win outright, while the Flames are +125 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Flames vs. Blues predictions and NHL picks.
Flames vs. Blues Odds, Pick
| Flames Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -205 | 5.5 -125o / +105u | +125 |
| Blues Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 5.5 -125o / +105u | -150 |
Flames vs. Blues Spread: Blues -1.5 (+170 ), Flames +1.5 (-205)
Flames vs. Blues Over/Under: 5.5 (-125o / +105u)
Flames vs. Blues Moneyline: Flames +125, Blues -150
Flames vs. Blues Preview
The “Bad Defense Overs” system targets regular-season NHL games where both teams struggle defensively and rank near the bottom in goals allowed. These matchups often feature poor goaltending, weak penalty kills, and defensive lapses that lead to consistent scoring chances on both sides.
When two teams allowing over three goals per game face off, the pace of play tends to quicken and structure breaks down, producing high-event hockey. Low win-rate clubs also push offensively to compensate for their flaws, creating open ice and trading rushes rather than playing conservatively.
This mix of desperation, fatigue, and loose coverage drives scoring well above expectation, making the over a historically profitable angle.
Flames vs. Blues Prediction
Overall, the system stands at 254-213-20 (54%) with a 6% ROI across all-time results, and it’s off to a 7-2 (78%) start this season with a 50% ROI.
Best Bet: Over 5.5
