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The Colorado Avalanche (11-6-2) and Ottawa Senators (11-6-2) will meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EST at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. The game will broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Avalanche are favored at -120 on the moneyline, with the Senators at +100 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 6.5 (-102o / -118u).
Let's get into our Avalanche vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks.
Avalanche vs. Senators Prediction
- Pick: Senators Moneyline (+100, play to -105)
Our Colorado vs. Ottawa best bet is on the Senators to win outright, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your NHL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NHL odds page.
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Avalanche vs Senators Odds
- Avalanche vs. Senators puck line: Avalanche -1.5 (+210), Senators +1.5 (-258)
- Avalanche vs. Senators over/under: 6.5 (-102o / -118u)
- Avalanche vs. Senators moneyline: Avalanche -120, Senators +100
- Avalanche vs. Senators best bet: Senators ML (+100)
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Avalanche vs. Senators Preview
Senators head coach Travis Green is currently priced as the third favorite to win the Jack Adams Award, and based on Ottawa's well-organized play at even strength, that seems entirely reasonable to me.
The Senators have controlled 55.75% of the expected goals over their last 10 games and have managed to tread water effectively despite the absence of number-one goaltender Linus Ullmark, who remains on the IR.
We were fortunate to cash our bets on the Capitals as slight underdogs on Tuesday evening, as the Senators were utterly dominant and prevented a deep Washington attack from generating anything at even strength after Samuel Ersson let in a cheapie in the first minute of the game.
With Jake Sanderson and Thomas Chabot both healthy, the makeup of Ottawa's defensive core is excellent. The unit offers an ideal blend of puck-moving ability, size, and mobility and has been the driving force behind the Senators' underrated play over the past season and a quarter.
Linus Ullmark is expected to return for this matchup and has been excellent this season, posting a 7-1-0 record with a .945 save percentage. There's obviously some added volatility with a goaltender returning from a three-week absence, but the Senators should produce strong results on most nights when they receive even league-average goaltending.
Fading the Avalanche is scary, as on paper they still appear to have the second-best roster in the NHL and are worthy of their status as the consensus second favorite to win the Cup based on where they should trend long-term. Realistically, though, playing your best hockey in November offers very little reward in the NHL, something Colorado is well familiar with after last season.
For now, this feels like a team that knows it can afford to go through the motions to some extent, and it faces a group that has looked really sharp thus far in the midst of a dogfight in the Atlantic Division.
The last reason we like the Senators here as slight home underdogs is the possibility of Scott Wedgewood starting in goal for Colorado, as he has really struggled out of the gate. Mackenzie Blackwood has made three straight starts, so it seems logical to expect Wedgewood to get another opportunity to right the ship.
Wedgewood obviously has the ability to perform at a higher level than we've seen thus far, but it's encouraging that a poor showing from him could provide another path to cashing this bet, given that Ottawa also looks capable of simply outplaying Colorado outright at this point.
Best Bet: Senators Moneyline (+100, DraftKings | Play to -105)
