The Dallas Stars (9-4-3) and Ottawa Senators (8-5-3) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EST at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Senators are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6 (+100o / -120u). The Senators are a -120 favorite to win outright, while the Stars are +100 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Stars vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks.
Stars vs. Senators Odds, Pick
| Stars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -260 | 6 100o / -120u | +100 |
| Senators Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +210 | 6 100o / -120u | -120 |
Stars vs. Senators Spread: Senators -1.5 (+210), Stars +1.5 (-260)
Stars vs. Senators Over/Under: 6 (+100o / -120u)
Stars vs. Senators Moneyline: Stars +100, Senators -120
Stars vs. Senators Preview
Both teams arrive on a good run, winning six of their last 10 games, as well as their previous two.
The Stars are the second-best team in the NHL in power-play percentage at 32.8, just behind the Pittsburgh Penguins, but rank 19th in goals per game at 2.94 despite Wyatt Johnston's 10-goal output this season.
They have been good on the road so far with a 4-1-2 record, but will face an Ottawa team that has been solid at home.
The Senators rank sixth in goals per game with 3.44 this season, with center Tim Stutzle leading the team in points (16) and goals (8). They have a 5-2-1 record on their home ice.
More importantly, though, is the nice streak they have going against the Stars in their head-to-head.
The Senators have won six of their past 10 matchups with Dallas, and they are even better in Ottawa, having defeated the Stars in their last five home games since 2020.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation to back the Senators on the moneyline tonight.
Stars vs. Senators Prediction
At Home Quality Opponent Early Season in NHL moneyline plays on a simple idea that the fresh months reward organized home favorites even when the visitor has a strong record.
In the first two dozen games, coaches still experiment, and the market leans toward the brand-name road team, yet the home side owns last change, familiar boards, and the comfort of routine while the opponent adjusts line matches and travel rhythm.
That combination turns early marquee nights into statement efforts for the favorite, who can roll four lines, dictate matchups, and bank small edges that would be harder to find later in the year, creating steady value backing the home favorite against a quality foe before the season fully settles.
Best Bet: Senators ML -120 (bet365)
