NHL Odds, Preview, Prediction: Jets vs Stars (Thursday, April 11)
Photo by Jonathan Kozub/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Laurent Brossoit (Jets)
Jets vs. Stars Odds
| Jets Odds | +150 |
| Stars Odds | -180 |
| Over / Under | 6 -105o / -115u |
Here's everything you need to know about the Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars on Thursday, April 11 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
As the NHL season nears its end, tonight’s Central Division matchup between the Winnipeg Jets and the Dallas Stars poses serious playoff implications.
Set to faceoff in Dallas at American Airlines Center, this rivalry matchup pits two contrasting styles against each other.
With both teams near full strength, we will dive into their season-long numbers, as well as previous matches to determine the best bet for Jets vs Stars.
The Jets have demonstrated robust gameplay all season long that defies their middling reputation as of late. Offensively, they rank 11th in Corsi percentage and 12th in expected goals (xG%), indicating a team that consistently generates scoring opportunities.
Their power play, however, lags at 25th in the NHL in goals scored, suggesting that while they create chances, converting them into goals remains an area for improvement.
Defensively, the Jets are stout, positioned 10th in expected goals against while maintaining a disciplined game with an average number of penalty minutes.
Laurent Brossoit, sitting third in both save percentage and goals-against average, has been a stalwart in goal, providing the Jets with a chance to win on any given night due to his stellar play between the pipes.
The Stars, on the other hand, have carved out a reputation for being particularly formidable this season, backed by impressive stats that underline their tactical prowess.
They hold the fifth spot in Corsi percentage and fourth in xG%, highlighting their efficiency in both creating and finishing high-quality scoring chances.
Their power play ranks eighth in the league, further emphasizing their offensive capabilities.
Defensively, they're just as tough, ranking eighth in expected goals against and showcasing effective penalty-killing abilities.
However, goaltender Jake Oettinger's stats — including a 40th rank in save percentage — hint at potential vulnerabilities that could be exploited by a high-pressure Jets offense compared to his previous seasons’ stats.
Jets vs. Stars
Betting Pick & Prediction
All metrics considered, under six goals is the most attractive bet at the current odds. That's especially the case given the defensive capabilities of both teams and the critical nature of the game, which will likely lead to tighter, more cautious play.
The combination of the Stars' offensive efficiency against the Jets' solid goaltending suggests a game in which high-quality chances may be at a premium, making the under an appealing option for bettors looking for value.
In conclusion, while the Jets could certainly make things interesting with their strong xG and Corsi stats, the Stars’ blend of high-efficiency scoring and disciplined defense should ultimately carry them to a low scoring 3-2 victory in what promises to be a tightly-contested battle.
Take the under as the best bet in tonight’s game and expect a physical matchup between two of the best teams in the league.
Pick: Under 6 Goals
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