Kraken vs Islanders Odds: NHL Preview, Prediction
(Photo by Jonathan Kozub/NHLI via Getty Images). Pictured: Ilya Sorokin.
Kraken vs. Islanders Odds
Here's everything you need to know about the Seattle Kraken vs. New York Islanders on Tuesday, February 13 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
These two teams have squared off just five times since Seattle's inception, but the Under has been the bet to make thus far with five or fewer total goals scored in three of those five outings. Will we see another low-scoring affair, or can the goals pick up this time around?
Let's dig into the NHL odds and make a Kraken vs. Islanders prediction.
There have been five or fewer total goals scored in each of Seattle's past three games, a trend I believe will continue Tuesday evening. First, the Kraken's offense has gone stale, scoring just three goals over those three games.
The second half of a road back-to-back is certainly not a circumstance in which this offense just suddenly starts to figure things out. This season, the Kraken rank in the bottom 10 of the league in goals scored per game, shots on goal per game and shooting percentage.
Based on their underlying metrics, positive regression is unlikely as Seattle also ranks 22nd in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) at 5-on-5. With that said, this current stretch of low-scoring also exists because of the Kraken's solid defensive play.
Entering this contest, they rank 11th or higher in goals allowed per game, shots on goal allowed per game and penalty minutes taken per game. Their defensive metrics are actually even stronger, ranking second in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5.
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New York's defensive metrics certainly don't stack up, but it does not need to for two reasons.
First, Seattle's offense is not a threat. Second, goaltender Ilya Sorokin is slated to start between the pipes for the Islanders, and he is more than capable of handling whatever is thrown his way. No stranger to dealing with New York's poor play in front of him, Sorokin carries a .910 SV% and 3.10 GAA into this contest.
He's in particularly good form currently, allowing two or fewer goals in three of his past four starts. Over that stretch, Sorokin is 3-1 with a .929 SV% and 2.27 GAA.
This tremendous stretch is likely to continue against the Kraken, a team Sorokin is 2-1 against in his career with a stellar .945 SV% and 1.69 GAA. However, something that he is also familiar with is a lack of goal support.
This season, the Islanders rank in the bottom half of the league in goals scored per game, shots on goal per game and shooting percentage.
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The main question regarding the Under in this game is goaltender Philipp Grubauer, who is slated to guard the cage for Seattle. While I don't necessarily trust him, I believe he can hang in there against a below-average Islanders offense.
Over his past six starts against New York, Grubauer is 3-2 with a commanding .925 SV% and 2.13 GAA. Considering these two offenses and the fact that Sorokin is projected to start across the ice, it's worth taking a shot on the Under at plus-money in this spot.
We could also see some particularly sluggish legs from Seattle, a team that is playing its third road game in four days and is on the second half of a back-to-back.