Maple Leafs vs Flyers Odds: NHL Preview, Prediction
(Photo by Joel Auerbach/Getty Images) Pictured: Travis Sanheim (6) congratulates Samuel Ersson
- The Flyers host the Maple Leafs at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday night.
- Jessica Gonsalves looks over the Maple Leafs vs Flyers odds and offers up a pick and prediction.
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers Odds
| Maple Leafs Odds | +115 |
| Flyers Odds | -105 |
| Over / Under | 6 -120/ +100 |
Here's everything you need to know about Maple Leafs vs. Flyers on Thursday, March 14 — our expert NHL prediction and pick.
Tonight’s Eastern Conference face-off between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers presents a fascinating study of contrasting teams. The Maple Leafs, renowned for their offensive firepower, meet the Flyers, a team showing resilience and surprising depth.
So, let's dig into the matchup and make a Maple Leafs vs. Flyers pick.
The Maple Leafs' offensive stats are impressive as they're 10th in Corsi, eighth in expected goals (xG) and second in high danger chances. In short, Toronto not only generates a lot of shots, but also creates high-quality opportunities. The Maple Leafs' prowess in getting into dangerous areas and unleashing efficient shots on goal is a testament to their skilled forwards, who can turn the tide of a game in moments.
However, Toronto's defensive metrics paint a different picture. Ranking 21st in Corsi Against and 25th in xG Against reveals vulnerabilities at the back that are exacerbated by Ilya Samsonov's struggles in goal this season, as indicated by his lower rankings in save percentage and goals saved above expected.
Toronto's blend of high-octane offense and less-than-stellar defense sets up an intriguing dynamic for this matchup.
The Flyers, on the other hand, exhibit balance between their offensive and defensive play. Their offense ranks eighth in Corsi and 17th in xG, reflecting a capacity to maintain puck possession and consistently generate scoring chances. Although not as explosive as Toronto, the Flyers' ability to create and capitalize on high danger chances, where they rank 13th, can't be underestimated.
Defensively, Philadelphia has outperformed expectations this season. It ranks 17th in Corsi Against and seventh in xG Against, which points to a team that’s tough to break down. That's also supported by Samuel Ersson's solid goaltending, which has exceeded preseason expectations.
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers
Betting Pick & Prediction
Given the contrasting styles and performances of both teams, betting on the Philadelphia Flyers' moneyline emerges as a compelling choice. The Flyers' balanced approach, coupled with their defensive solidity and competent goaltending, positions them well to challenge the Leafs.
Playing at home adds an additional layer of advantage, potentially energizing the Flyers against a Toronto team that, while offensively gifted, shows defensive vulnerabilities and goaltending inconsistencies that Philadelphia can exploit.
Take the underdog Flyers on the moneyline (+105 at DraftKings) and expect a dominant defensive performance.
Pick: Flyers Moneyline
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