NHL Odds, Pick, Prediction: Predators vs. Golden Knights (March 24)
Jonathan Kozub/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Nicolas Roy
- The Golden Knights are modest favorites on Thursday night against the Predators.
- Vegas is fading as the playoff push continues but has what it takes to get back on track on home ice.
- Continue reading for a full breakdown of this matchup, including a betting pick.
Predators vs. Golden Knights Odds
|Golden Knights Odds||-115|
|Time||10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.|
After yet another winless road trip, this time to Minnesota and Winnipeg, Vegas returns home desperate to find some success within the friendly confines of T-Mobile Arena as its playoff hopes continue to slip away.
To do so, Vegas will need to keep Roman Josi and a scorching-hot Predators offense in check, which is quite a tall order with the bodies on hand. Can the Knights stop the bleeding here?
Golden Knights Going Through Rough Patch
It’s certainly no consolation for a Knights team in desperate need of points, but they should be proud of the effort put forth Tuesday night in Winnipeg, even if the final 4-0 score line says otherwise.
Connor Hellebuyck put together one of the games of the season in goal for the Jets. The Knights simply could not break through, but actually put together what I felt was a very impressive effort considering the bodies on hand and the back-to-back spot.
Vegas now looks to find a massive result at home, and could be far more lucky at home, where it has been significantly better.
Despite the dreadful month, Vegas has actually played to a respectable 52.47 expected goals rate — higher than Nashville — and an argument could be made that it deserved better results in the process.
Logan Thompson continues to post respectable play in the Vegas goal, and I actually feel there is some real promise for the 25-year-old moving forward. In eight games at the NHL level this season Thompson has played to a -0.2 goals saved above expected rating, with a .910 save %.
Predators’ Offense Due For Regression
The Predators’ red-hot offense finally hit a wall in Tuesday night in Los Angeles.
Josi’s ridiculous 24 points in 10 games entering that game led the way for a Nashville offense that had scored 4.5 goals per game over its last 10 outings.
However, as you would expect, the Predators have greatly outscored their expected output over that time, and I think we see some slight regression results-wise moving forward.
Nashville is clearly a very strong club and will be no pushover this postseason, but a 51.75 expected goals rate this month agrees that it isn’t as dominant as the results indicate.
Juuse Saros should get the start here after sitting in Tuesday’s back-to-back spot, and has been very strong again this season. Saros has a +23.2 goals saved above expected rating with a .922 save % this season.
Predators vs. Golden Knights Pick
The pressure to put together some wins is immense right now for the Knights, and we should see somewhat of a playoff atmosphere Thursday at T-Mobile, as this once Cup-hopeful desperately looks to help ensure they actually get to the dance.
Vegas has not played as poorly as its record indicates throughout this month. What’s left of this Knights roster is on paper still not insurmountably far below what the Predators are offering, and I feel it can break through in this huge contest and find the result deserved last time out vs Winnipeg.
I will be playing the Knights moneyline at -115, however, I do feel we could see this number move toward the Predators closer to puck-drop, and do not feel rushing to get in on this current numbers is important for people looking to back the Knights.
Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -115 (Play to -125)
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